Costco vs TJX

Costco and TJX compare business models, financial performance, and market context. This page presents a neutral overview to help readers understand strategy, growth, and competitive positioning without offering advice. Educational content, not financial advice.

Costco and TJX compare business models, financial performance, and market context. This page presents a neutral overview to help readers understand strategy, growth, and competitive positioning withou...

Comparison Snapshot

Key Financial Metrics

COST

Metric

TJX

$436.43B

Market Cap

$170.17B

3.45%

Potential Profit

11.71%

Buy

Analyst Rating

Strong Buy

Why It's Moving

Costco Shares Surge to 19-Week High on Robust Q1 Earnings and Analyst Upgrades

Q1 comparable sales hit 6.4% (7.1% excluding gas), driven by broad-based strength in non-foods, foods, and fresh categories, plus 20.5% digitally enabled growth.
Mizuho upgraded to Outperform with $1,000 target, spotlighting accelerating trade-up to premium memberships at 2-3x total adds and adding COST to Top Picks.
Deutsche Bank initiated Buy at $1,044, citing tailwinds like 2026 stimulus despite food disinflation and value-focused spending.

Sentiment:

🐃Bullish

TJX Crushes Q3 Expectations with 7% Sales Surge and Raised Full-Year Outlook, Eyeing 7,000 Global Stores.

Q3 net sales hit $15.1B, up 7% YoY with 5% comp sales growth, exceeding expectations and signaling robust shopper demand for value deals.
Diluted EPS rose 12% to $1.28; company returned $1.1B to shareholders in Q3 and $3.1B over nine months via buybacks and dividends.
Upped FY26 guidance and ambitious 7,000-store expansion plan underscore confidence in capturing more market share amid strong merchandise availability.

Sentiment:

🐃Bullish

Costco Shares Surge to 19-Week High on Robust Q1 Earnings and Analyst Upgrades

Q1 comparable sales hit 6.4% (7.1% excluding gas), driven by broad-based strength in non-foods, foods, and fresh categories, plus 20.5% digitally enabled growth.
Mizuho upgraded to Outperform with $1,000 target, spotlighting accelerating trade-up to premium memberships at 2-3x total adds and adding COST to Top Picks.
Deutsche Bank initiated Buy at $1,044, citing tailwinds like 2026 stimulus despite food disinflation and value-focused spending.

Sentiment:

🐃Bullish

TJX Crushes Q3 Expectations with 7% Sales Surge and Raised Full-Year Outlook, Eyeing 7,000 Global Stores.

Q3 net sales hit $15.1B, up 7% YoY with 5% comp sales growth, exceeding expectations and signaling robust shopper demand for value deals.
Diluted EPS rose 12% to $1.28; company returned $1.1B to shareholders in Q3 and $3.1B over nine months via buybacks and dividends.
Upped FY26 guidance and ambitious 7,000-store expansion plan underscore confidence in capturing more market share amid strong merchandise availability.

Sentiment:

🐃Bullish

Investment Analysis

Costco

COST

Pros

Costco has demonstrated strong operational discipline and consistent membership growth, supporting its revenue and earnings expansion.
The company maintains a healthy dividend payout ratio and has a long track record of annual dividend increases.
Costco's membership model provides recurring revenue and high customer retention, contributing to stable cash flows.

Considerations

Costco trades at a premium valuation compared to industry peers, with a high forward price-to-earnings ratio.
Revenue growth is somewhat constrained by reliance on existing store productivity rather than rapid new store expansion.
Margins are relatively thin due to the low-price, high-volume business model, limiting profitability upside.

TJX

Pros

TJX Companies has delivered robust stock performance and strong earnings growth, outpacing the broader retail sector recently.
The company benefits from a resilient off-price retail strategy that attracts value-conscious consumers across economic cycles.
TJX trades at a lower forward price-to-earnings ratio than Costco, offering relatively attractive valuation metrics.

Considerations

TJX's growth is dependent on inventory sourcing and supply chain efficiency, which can be volatile and impact margins.
The company faces intense competition from other discount retailers, pressuring pricing and market share.
Dividend yield and payout history are less established compared to Costco, with a shorter track record of dividend increases.

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