Fair Isaac Corp

Fair Isaac Corp

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) is best known for the FICO Score, a widely used credit-scoring metric, and for its analytics and decision-management software used by banks, insurers, retailers and government agencies. The company sells a mix of software licences, cloud-based subscriptions, analytics services and consulting, giving it recurring revenue elements and high margins. Key growth drivers include digital lending, fraud prevention demand, adoption of cloud decisioning, and the use of alternative data and machine learning to refine risk models. Investors should note exposure to credit-cycle sensitivity — demand for scoring and decision tools can ebb and flow with lending activity — and regulatory scrutiny over scoring and data use. Competition from other analytics and fintech firms, and operational risks like cyber incidents, are additional considerations. This summary is educational and not personalised advice; values can rise or fall and any investment should be considered against your goals and risk tolerance.

Why It's Moving

Fair Isaac Corp

FICO Stock Faces Whipsaw as Strong Q1 Earnings Clash With Market Volatility and Economic Concerns

Fair Isaac delivered better-than-expected first-quarter results with earnings per share of $7.33 beating forecasts of $7.07 and revenue reaching $512 million versus expected $500.72 million, yet shares have tumbled nearly 6.84% in recent trading as investors grapple with mixed signals about the company's growth trajectory. Analysts maintain bullish positioning with a consensus Buy rating and an $1,961 price target implying 80% upside, but mounting concerns about software segment weakness and potential economic headwinds are tempering enthusiasm.
Sentiment:
🌋Volatile
  • Q1 earnings crushed expectations with 16% year-over-year revenue growth and strong pricing power in core FICO Scores segment, which jumped 29.2%, driven by mortgage and auto lending demand—yet the Software division showed concerning signs with just 1.2% growth and a 7.6% decline in non-platform annual recurring revenue.
  • Board approved a new $1.5 billion stock repurchase program and announced a $1 billion Senior Notes offering to refinance debt, signaling management confidence in long-term value despite near-term volatility and the stock trading near 52-week lows around $1,085–$1,192.
  • Analyst confidence remains elevated with 15 Buy ratings versus only 1 Sell, and firms like Needham and Bank of America citing FICO's entrenched market position and pricing power, though concerns about prolonged economic downturns potentially reducing demand for scores pose a meaningful headwind to growth expectations.

When is the next earnings date for Fair Isaac Corp (FICO)?

Fair Isaac (FICO) is estimated to announce its next earnings between April 24 and April 30, 2026, following its most recent report on January 28, 2026, with no official date confirmed yet. This release will cover the first quarter of fiscal 2026 (Q1 FY2026), consistent with the company's historical late-April pattern for Q1 results. Investors should monitor for an official announcement in the coming weeks.

Stock Performance Snapshot

Buy

Analyst Rating

Analysts suggest buying Fair Isaac's stock with a target price of $2,015.47, indicating significant growth potential.

Above Average

Financial Health

Fair Isaac Corp is performing well with strong profits and cash flow, indicating solid financial health.

Source: Analyst sentiment is provided by Refinitiv Ltd, a global leader in financial market data with over 40k business clients. Refinitiv Ltd is an independent third party to Nemo. This is not advice.

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Why You’ll Want to Watch This Stock

📈

Recurring Revenue Shift

FICO has been shifting toward cloud subscriptions and recurring fees, which can smooth revenue, though performance can vary with client adoption and market cycles.

🌍

Global Demand For Scoring

Lenders and insurers worldwide rely on scoring and analytics, offering geographic growth potential, but regulatory regimes and data rules differ by market.

Analytics & Innovation

Investment in machine learning and alternative data can enhance competitive position, while cyber and model-risk require careful oversight.

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