

Hershey vs Constellation Brands
Major US candy maker with well known brands vs Major North American producer of premium alcoholic beverages. Which is the better buy for your portfolio in June 2026? Plain-English answer below.
Hershey dominates U.S. chocolate and snacking with predictable volumes but faces mounting cocoa cost pressure that's squeezing the margins investors have long relied on, while Constellation Brands imports and sells the top-selling beer brands in America among Hispanic-American consumers and has been building a premium wine and spirits portfolio. Both companies operate in consumer staples categories with loyal brand followings that support pricing power. Hershey vs Constellation Brands dissects how raw material exposure in confectionery compares to the import dynamics and demographic tailwinds shaping the beer market.
Hershey dominates U.S. chocolate and snacking with predictable volumes but faces mounting cocoa cost pressure that's squeezing the margins investors have long relied on, while Constellation Brands imp...
Why It’s Moving

Hershey is under pressure as analysts turn more cautious on margins and demand, keeping downside risk in focus.
- Morgan Stanley cut its rating on Hershey to Underweight and lowered its price target, signaling that analysts see less room for the shares to outperform in the near term.
- Broader analyst coverage still leans to Hold, which suggests investors are waiting for clearer evidence that pricing and cost controls can offset inflation pressure.
- Recent commentary has centered on commodity and channel headwinds, implying that Hershey’s earnings power may stay under strain even if sales remain relatively resilient.

Constellation Brands stays in focus as analysts keep a broadly constructive stance on STZ.
- Analyst coverage remains broadly supportive, suggesting investors still see room for the company’s core beer business to keep offsetting softer spots elsewhere.
- Recent earnings commentary has reinforced the view that operating performance is holding up better than expected, which is helping sustain confidence in the name.
- The mixed spread of analyst opinions shows the debate is less about near-term demand shock and more about how much upside is already reflected in the stock.

Hershey is under pressure as analysts turn more cautious on margins and demand, keeping downside risk in focus.
- Morgan Stanley cut its rating on Hershey to Underweight and lowered its price target, signaling that analysts see less room for the shares to outperform in the near term.
- Broader analyst coverage still leans to Hold, which suggests investors are waiting for clearer evidence that pricing and cost controls can offset inflation pressure.
- Recent commentary has centered on commodity and channel headwinds, implying that Hershey’s earnings power may stay under strain even if sales remain relatively resilient.

Constellation Brands stays in focus as analysts keep a broadly constructive stance on STZ.
- Analyst coverage remains broadly supportive, suggesting investors still see room for the company’s core beer business to keep offsetting softer spots elsewhere.
- Recent earnings commentary has reinforced the view that operating performance is holding up better than expected, which is helping sustain confidence in the name.
- The mixed spread of analyst opinions shows the debate is less about near-term demand shock and more about how much upside is already reflected in the stock.
Investment Analysis

Hershey
HSY
Pros
- Hershey delivered stronger-than-expected Q3 2025 sales and raised its full-year outlook, reflecting resilient demand for core confectionery products.
- The company is advancing productivity initiatives, including automation expected to generate $150 million in cost savings for 2025, offsetting some inflation pressure.
- Hershey maintains a solid balance sheet with $1.16 billion in cash and continues to pay a dividend yield above 3%.
Considerations
- Reported earnings per share are forecast to fall sharply in 2025, pressured by higher commodity costs, tariffs, and an unfavourable sales mix.
- Input cost inflation and anticipated tariff expenses of $160–170 million present persistent margin headwinds not fully offset by savings initiatives.
- The stock trades at a forward PE ratio above 26, potentially limiting near-term upside relative to sector peers.
Pros
- Constellation Brands dominates the US high-growth Mexican import beer category, with Modelo and Corona driving 84% of revenue and consistently strong market share.
- The company generates robust free cash flow, supports a ~2.4% dividend yield, and has a healthy balance sheet for a consumer staples firm.
- Constellation’s strategic pruning of lower-margin wine and spirits assets focuses capital on higher-return beer and premium beverage opportunities.
Considerations
- Exclusive US rights for Modelo and Corona restrict international beer growth, leaving the company heavily reliant on a single geography for its core profit driver.
- Ongoing exposure to Canopy Growth, a struggling cannabis investment, creates potential earnings volatility and capital allocation concerns.
- Evolving US alcohol consumption trends and regulatory scrutiny on marketing and distribution could pressure future growth rates.
Hershey (HSY) Next Earnings Date
The next earnings date for HSY is July 29, 2026. The company is expected to report Q2 2026 results, covering the quarter ended in June 2026. This date is based on the company’s typical late-July reporting pattern and has not been formally confirmed in the results provided.
Constellation Brands (STZ) Next Earnings Date
The next earnings date for STZ is June 30, 2026, with the company scheduled to report first quarter fiscal 2027 results. Constellation Brands has also said it will host its conference call on July 1, 2026 at 8:00 a.m. ET. If that date shifts, it would still be expected around late June based on its established reporting pattern.
Hershey (HSY) Next Earnings Date
The next earnings date for HSY is July 29, 2026. The company is expected to report Q2 2026 results, covering the quarter ended in June 2026. This date is based on the company’s typical late-July reporting pattern and has not been formally confirmed in the results provided.
Constellation Brands (STZ) Next Earnings Date
The next earnings date for STZ is June 30, 2026, with the company scheduled to report first quarter fiscal 2027 results. Constellation Brands has also said it will host its conference call on July 1, 2026 at 8:00 a.m. ET. If that date shifts, it would still be expected around late June based on its established reporting pattern.
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