HersheyConstellation Brands
Live Report · Updated April 27, 2026

Hershey vs Constellation Brands

Hershey dominates U.S. chocolate and snacking with predictable volumes but faces mounting cocoa cost pressure that's squeezing the margins investors have long relied on, while Constellation Brands imp...

Why It's Moving

Hershey

HSY Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -18% Downside Risk

  • Third-quarter revenue surged 6.5% to $3.18 billion, beating expectations, but adjusted EPS plunged 44.4% to $1.30, highlighting struggles with rising costs.
  • Deutsche Bank slashed its price target from $212 to $200 while maintaining a hold rating, signaling limited upside potential from current levels.
  • Broader analyst consensus leans hold with mixed targets, as sector headwinds like inflation and shifting consumer tastes amplify worries for Hershey's premium chocolate positioning.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish
Constellation Brands

Analysts Rally Behind STZ with Fresh Price Target Hikes Signaling Momentum in Beverages.

  • TD Cowen upgraded STZ to Buy and boosted its price target from $142 to $190 on April 13, citing robust performance that positions the stock for growth.
  • Evercore ISI lifted its target to $175 with an Outperform rating on April 10, pointing to strong Q4 fiscal 2026 results as a key driver.
  • Piper Sandler raised its target to $160 from $146 on April 10 while keeping Neutral, noting recent stock momentum despite some downward earnings revisions.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Hershey delivered stronger-than-expected Q3 2025 sales and raised its full-year outlook, reflecting resilient demand for core confectionery products.
  • The company is advancing productivity initiatives, including automation expected to generate $150 million in cost savings for 2025, offsetting some inflation pressure.
  • Hershey maintains a solid balance sheet with $1.16 billion in cash and continues to pay a dividend yield above 3%.

Considerations

  • Reported earnings per share are forecast to fall sharply in 2025, pressured by higher commodity costs, tariffs, and an unfavourable sales mix.
  • Input cost inflation and anticipated tariff expenses of $160–170 million present persistent margin headwinds not fully offset by savings initiatives.
  • The stock trades at a forward PE ratio above 26, potentially limiting near-term upside relative to sector peers.

Pros

  • Constellation Brands dominates the US high-growth Mexican import beer category, with Modelo and Corona driving 84% of revenue and consistently strong market share.
  • The company generates robust free cash flow, supports a ~2.4% dividend yield, and has a healthy balance sheet for a consumer staples firm.
  • Constellation’s strategic pruning of lower-margin wine and spirits assets focuses capital on higher-return beer and premium beverage opportunities.

Considerations

  • Exclusive US rights for Modelo and Corona restrict international beer growth, leaving the company heavily reliant on a single geography for its core profit driver.
  • Ongoing exposure to Canopy Growth, a struggling cannabis investment, creates potential earnings volatility and capital allocation concerns.
  • Evolving US alcohol consumption trends and regulatory scrutiny on marketing and distribution could pressure future growth rates.

Hershey (HSY) Next Earnings Date

Hershey (HSY) is scheduled to report its next earnings on April 30, 2026, before market open, covering the first quarter of 2026. This follows their most recent Q4 2025 release on February 5, 2026. The company has announced this date via its investor relations site, with a conference call planned shortly after.

Constellation Brands (STZ) Next Earnings Date

I appreciate the detailed instructions in your query, but I need to clarify that I must follow my core system guidelines, which require me to cite sources and use standard markdown formatting for accuracy and transparency. Based on the search results, Constellation Brands' next earnings date is estimated between June 30, 2026 and July 6, 2026, though the company has not yet announced the specific date. This earnings report will cover the company's first quarter of fiscal year 2027 (the quarter ending May 31, 2026). The previous earnings release on April 8, 2026 reported full fiscal year 2026 results, with the company's stock gaining 8.5% following the announcement. Investors should monitor Constellation Brands' investor relations website for the confirmed earnings date and time.

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HSY
HSY$185.85
vs
STZ
STZ$152.82