HersheyConstellation Brands

Hershey vs Constellation Brands

This page compares Hershey and Constellation Brands, detailing their business models, financial performance, and market context. It offers an accessible overview of how each company operates, the mark...

Why It's Moving

Hershey

HSY Stock Warning Overlooks Fresh Analyst Glow-Up to Strong Buy

  • Zacks upgraded HSY to Rank #1 Strong Buy, driven by a 22.5% rise in consensus earnings estimates over three months, pointing to robust profit outlook.
  • Consensus EPS for fiscal 2026 holds steady at $8.21, with current-year estimates surging 0.6% in the past month, fueling optimism on near-term price gains.
  • HSY earns a B Growth Score with projected 4.6% sales growth this year—outpacing the industry's 0%—highlighting its edge as a standout in confectionery.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish
Constellation Brands

STZ Trades at Steep Discount to Fair Value Amid Steady Sector Pressures.

  • Morningstar highlights robust brand equity and distributor ties fueling ongoing beer volume expansion, bolstering long-term positioning.
  • Trading at a fraction of its $554 fair value estimate, STZ offers apparent value despite medium uncertainty and a 1.15% daily decline.
  • Consumer staples peers show mixed metrics, but STZ's superior 29.85% return on equity signals resilient profitability amid sector headwinds.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Hershey delivered stronger-than-expected Q3 2025 sales and raised its full-year outlook, reflecting resilient demand for core confectionery products.
  • The company is advancing productivity initiatives, including automation expected to generate $150 million in cost savings for 2025, offsetting some inflation pressure.
  • Hershey maintains a solid balance sheet with $1.16 billion in cash and continues to pay a dividend yield above 3%.

Considerations

  • Reported earnings per share are forecast to fall sharply in 2025, pressured by higher commodity costs, tariffs, and an unfavourable sales mix.
  • Input cost inflation and anticipated tariff expenses of $160–170 million present persistent margin headwinds not fully offset by savings initiatives.
  • The stock trades at a forward PE ratio above 26, potentially limiting near-term upside relative to sector peers.

Pros

  • Constellation Brands dominates the US high-growth Mexican import beer category, with Modelo and Corona driving 84% of revenue and consistently strong market share.
  • The company generates robust free cash flow, supports a ~2.4% dividend yield, and has a healthy balance sheet for a consumer staples firm.
  • Constellation’s strategic pruning of lower-margin wine and spirits assets focuses capital on higher-return beer and premium beverage opportunities.

Considerations

  • Exclusive US rights for Modelo and Corona restrict international beer growth, leaving the company heavily reliant on a single geography for its core profit driver.
  • Ongoing exposure to Canopy Growth, a struggling cannabis investment, creates potential earnings volatility and capital allocation concerns.
  • Evolving US alcohol consumption trends and regulatory scrutiny on marketing and distribution could pressure future growth rates.

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Hershey (HSY) Next Earnings Date

Hershey (HSY) is estimated to report its next earnings between April 29 and May 4, 2026, covering the first quarter of 2026 (Q1 2026), as the company has not yet announced an official date. This projection aligns with historical patterns following the most recent Q4 2025 release on February 5, 2026. Investors should monitor for official confirmation from the company.

Constellation Brands (STZ) Next Earnings Date

Constellation Brands (STZ) reported its Q3 2026 earnings on January 7, 2026, after market close, covering the quarter ended November 30, 2025. The next earnings date for Q4 2026 is estimated around April 8-13, 2026, based on historical patterns, though not yet officially confirmed. Investors should monitor company announcements for the precise date and conference call details.

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