HersheyFEMSA

Hershey vs FEMSA

This STOCK vs STOCK page compares Hershey Company, The and FEMSA (Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B de C.V). It examines business models, financial performance, and market context in a neutral, access...

Why It's Moving

Hershey

Hershey Flashes Golden Cross as Technicals Signal Short-Term Rally Potential

  • Golden cross formed as HSY broke above its 20-day moving average, reinforcing momentum after reaching key support levels.[1]
  • Nine earnings estimates raised with none lowered in the past two months, boosting the consensus outlook and Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) status.[1]
  • Shares up 0.86% to $181.61 on December 11, extending a multi-week advance amid steady volume and favorable technical signals.[2]
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish
FEMSA

FEMSA launches $260M accelerated share repurchase amid steady stock gains.

  • Accelerated $260M share buyback announced December 2, a move that boosts shareholder value by reducing outstanding shares and underscoring management's optimism.
  • Stock up 11.7% year-to-date to ~$95.52 as of late October, with recent trading near $102.59, supported by core Coca-Cola Femsa and Oxxo operations.
  • Analysts maintain mixed but stable outlook with 4 buy, 4 hold, 1 sell ratings and consensus target near current levels, highlighting steady interest.
Sentiment:
⚖️Neutral

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Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Hershey raised its 2025 net sales outlook to a 3% year-over-year increase, reflecting stronger business momentum.
  • The company is advancing its Agility & Automation Initiative, expected to deliver $150 million in cost savings in 2025.
  • Hershey has a strong balance sheet with $1.16 billion in cash and $4.56 billion in stockholders’ equity as of Q3 2025.

Considerations

  • Reported EPS is expected to decline 48-50% in 2025 due to higher commodity, tariff costs, and unfavorable sales mix.
  • Rising tariff expenses, forecasted between $160 million and $170 million in 2025, add notable cost pressure.
  • Hershey’s stock has declined about 9.4% over the past three months amidst margin pressures and rising input costs.

Pros

  • FEMSA is well diversified with dominant OXXO convenience stores and strong beverage operations in Latin America.
  • Management has focused on divesting non-core assets and is returning cash to shareholders, indicating capital discipline.
  • The stock offers a dividend yield of approximately 2.17%, providing attractive income relative to peers.

Considerations

  • FEMSA’s valuation is elevated with a price-to-earnings ratio around 34-42, which might limit upside in the near term.
  • The company is exposed to economic volatility and trade tensions between the US and Mexico, which can impact performance.
  • Growth is partly dependent on expansion in other Latin American markets where competitive and macro risks remain.

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