HersheyFEMSA

Hershey vs FEMSA

Major US candy maker with well known brands vs Mexican convenience retailer and beverage bottling giant. Which is the better buy for your portfolio in June 2026? Plain-English answer below.

Hershey commands iconic U.S. candy brands and a dominant grocery shelf presence, defending premium pricing amid rising cocoa costs and health-conscious headwinds, while FEMSA operates an enormous conv...

Why It’s Moving

Hershey

HSY faces renewed downside pressure as analysts point to weaker earnings momentum and rising cost headwinds.

  • Morgan Stanley downgraded Hershey to Underweight from Equalweight, signaling that it sees less room for the stock to outperform after the latest run-up.
  • The firm also trimmed its price target, highlighting concern that persistent commodity and oil-related costs could squeeze margins and limit earnings upside.
  • Broader analyst sentiment remains split but cautious, with multiple recent Hold ratings suggesting investors are waiting for clearer proof that Hershey can stabilize profitability and reaccelerate growth.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish
FEMSA

Analyst Consensus on FMX for 2026 Hints at Buy Momentum Despite Mixed Price Targets

  • A majority of 15 analysts rate FMX as a 'Buy,' signaling strong confidence in the company's long-term growth trajectory amid rising consumer demand.
  • Price target projections range widely from $97 to $145, reflecting differing views on valuation impact from currency fluctuations and regional economic policy shifts.
  • Recent trading data shows FMX shares dipped slightly following a reported 2% decline, yet underlying fundamentals remain resilient according to multiple equity research reports.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Hershey raised its 2025 net sales outlook to a 3% year-over-year increase, reflecting stronger business momentum.
  • The company is advancing its Agility & Automation Initiative, expected to deliver $150 million in cost savings in 2025.
  • Hershey has a strong balance sheet with $1.16 billion in cash and $4.56 billion in stockholders’ equity as of Q3 2025.

Considerations

  • Reported EPS is expected to decline 48-50% in 2025 due to higher commodity, tariff costs, and unfavorable sales mix.
  • Rising tariff expenses, forecasted between $160 million and $170 million in 2025, add notable cost pressure.
  • Hershey’s stock has declined about 9.4% over the past three months amidst margin pressures and rising input costs.

Pros

  • FEMSA is well diversified with dominant OXXO convenience stores and strong beverage operations in Latin America.
  • Management has focused on divesting non-core assets and is returning cash to shareholders, indicating capital discipline.
  • The stock offers a dividend yield of approximately 2.17%, providing attractive income relative to peers.

Considerations

  • FEMSA’s valuation is elevated with a price-to-earnings ratio around 34-42, which might limit upside in the near term.
  • The company is exposed to economic volatility and trade tensions between the US and Mexico, which can impact performance.
  • Growth is partly dependent on expansion in other Latin American markets where competitive and macro risks remain.

Hershey (HSY) Next Earnings Date

HSY’s next earnings date is currently estimated for Wednesday, July 29, 2026, before the market opens. The report is expected to cover Q2 2026 results. This date is based on the company’s historical reporting pattern, since Hershey has not yet officially confirmed the release.

FEMSA (FMX) Next Earnings Date

The next earnings date for FMX is expected on July 28, 2026. That report should cover Q2 2026 results. Some sources place the release in the July 27–29 window, but July 28 is the clearest current estimate.

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Frequently asked questions

HSY
HSY$172.50
vs
FMX
FMX$126.47
Buy HSY