

Hershey vs Constellation Brands
Major US candy maker with well known brands vs Major North American producer of premium alcoholic beverages. Which is the better buy for your portfolio in June 2026? Plain-English answer below.
Hershey dominates U.S. chocolate and snacking with predictable volumes but faces mounting cocoa cost pressure that's squeezing the margins investors have long relied on, while Constellation Brands imports and sells the top-selling beer brands in America among Hispanic-American consumers and has been building a premium wine and spirits portfolio. Both companies operate in consumer staples categories with loyal brand followings that support pricing power. Hershey vs Constellation Brands dissects how raw material exposure in confectionery compares to the import dynamics and demographic tailwinds shaping the beer market.
Hershey dominates U.S. chocolate and snacking with predictable volumes but faces mounting cocoa cost pressure that's squeezing the margins investors have long relied on, while Constellation Brands imp...
Why It’s Moving

Hershey shares face selling pressure as commodity costs and shifting consumer habits trigger a sharp downgrade in analyst outlook.
- Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo downgraded HSY to 'Underweight' due to elevated oil and commodity pressures forcing a revised price target of $183.
- Persistent challenges including high input costs, shifting consumer preferences, and tight retail inventories have led the company to revise its 2024 projections downward.
- Multiple analysts now flag overvaluation risks and a consensus 'Hold' rating, with the stock trading above its mean price target while facing a 64% likelihood of further downward movement.

STZ Analysts Lean Buy for 2026 as UBS Reinforces Confidence Despite Mixed Targets
- UBS analyst Peter Grom maintained a 'Buy' rating and raised the price target to $176, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term growth trajectory.
- Comparative analyst data shows a broad 'Buy' consensus with an average target near $174, though individual forecasts range significantly from $120 to over $260, highlighting divergent views on market risks.
- The beverage sector's broader stability is driving the neutral-to-positive sentiment, as investors weigh strong brand performance against potential macroeconomic headwinds affecting consumer spending.

Hershey shares face selling pressure as commodity costs and shifting consumer habits trigger a sharp downgrade in analyst outlook.
- Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo downgraded HSY to 'Underweight' due to elevated oil and commodity pressures forcing a revised price target of $183.
- Persistent challenges including high input costs, shifting consumer preferences, and tight retail inventories have led the company to revise its 2024 projections downward.
- Multiple analysts now flag overvaluation risks and a consensus 'Hold' rating, with the stock trading above its mean price target while facing a 64% likelihood of further downward movement.

STZ Analysts Lean Buy for 2026 as UBS Reinforces Confidence Despite Mixed Targets
- UBS analyst Peter Grom maintained a 'Buy' rating and raised the price target to $176, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term growth trajectory.
- Comparative analyst data shows a broad 'Buy' consensus with an average target near $174, though individual forecasts range significantly from $120 to over $260, highlighting divergent views on market risks.
- The beverage sector's broader stability is driving the neutral-to-positive sentiment, as investors weigh strong brand performance against potential macroeconomic headwinds affecting consumer spending.
Investment Analysis

Hershey
HSY
Pros
- Hershey delivered stronger-than-expected Q3 2025 sales and raised its full-year outlook, reflecting resilient demand for core confectionery products.
- The company is advancing productivity initiatives, including automation expected to generate $150 million in cost savings for 2025, offsetting some inflation pressure.
- Hershey maintains a solid balance sheet with $1.16 billion in cash and continues to pay a dividend yield above 3%.
Considerations
- Reported earnings per share are forecast to fall sharply in 2025, pressured by higher commodity costs, tariffs, and an unfavourable sales mix.
- Input cost inflation and anticipated tariff expenses of $160–170 million present persistent margin headwinds not fully offset by savings initiatives.
- The stock trades at a forward PE ratio above 26, potentially limiting near-term upside relative to sector peers.
Pros
- Constellation Brands dominates the US high-growth Mexican import beer category, with Modelo and Corona driving 84% of revenue and consistently strong market share.
- The company generates robust free cash flow, supports a ~2.4% dividend yield, and has a healthy balance sheet for a consumer staples firm.
- Constellation’s strategic pruning of lower-margin wine and spirits assets focuses capital on higher-return beer and premium beverage opportunities.
Considerations
- Exclusive US rights for Modelo and Corona restrict international beer growth, leaving the company heavily reliant on a single geography for its core profit driver.
- Ongoing exposure to Canopy Growth, a struggling cannabis investment, creates potential earnings volatility and capital allocation concerns.
- Evolving US alcohol consumption trends and regulatory scrutiny on marketing and distribution could pressure future growth rates.
Hershey (HSY) Next Earnings Date
The next earnings date for HSY is July 29, 2026. Based on the company’s reporting cycle, that release is expected to cover Q2 2026. If Hershey follows its usual timing, the announcement should come before the market open.
Constellation Brands (STZ) Next Earnings Date
The next earnings date for Constellation Brands (STZ) is scheduled for June 30, 2026, after the market closes. This report will cover the company's first quarter (Q1) of fiscal year 2027. STZ typically follows a consistent quarterly reporting schedule, and this date aligns with their historical pattern of releasing results in late June following the end of the fiscal quarter. Investors should note that the company has not yet officially confirmed this date, though it is the widely estimated timing based on past reporting cycles.
Hershey (HSY) Next Earnings Date
The next earnings date for HSY is July 29, 2026. Based on the company’s reporting cycle, that release is expected to cover Q2 2026. If Hershey follows its usual timing, the announcement should come before the market open.
Constellation Brands (STZ) Next Earnings Date
The next earnings date for Constellation Brands (STZ) is scheduled for June 30, 2026, after the market closes. This report will cover the company's first quarter (Q1) of fiscal year 2027. STZ typically follows a consistent quarterly reporting schedule, and this date aligns with their historical pattern of releasing results in late June following the end of the fiscal quarter. Investors should note that the company has not yet officially confirmed this date, though it is the widely estimated timing based on past reporting cycles.
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