MondelezIllinois Tool Works

Mondelez vs Illinois Tool Works

Mondelez vs Illinois Tool Works: this page compares business models, financial performance, and market context for the two companies. The content is presented in a neutral, accessible manner to suppor...

Why It's Moving

Mondelez

Cocoa Price Plunge Sparks Relief Rally for Mondelez as Snack Giant Battles Input Cost Squeeze

  • Cocoa futures tumbled over 5% this week to 1.75-year lows, offering hope for Mondelez's battered gross margins that plunged 1,010 basis points in Q3 2025 amid extreme cost inflation.
  • Q3 results showed organic net revenue up 3.4% despite volume headwinds, with updated 2025 guidance holding organic growth at 4%+ and free cash flow over $3B.
  • Year-to-date, Mondelez generated $2.1B in operating cash flow and returned $3.7B to shareholders, underscoring financial strength as input costs finally ease.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish
Illinois Tool Works

ITW Boosts Dividend 7% in 62nd Straight Yearly Hike, Signaling Board Confidence Amid Steady Operations.

  • Dividend raised by $0.11 per share, reflecting strong Q3 free cash flow of $904M (up 15%) and 110% conversion to net income[1][6].
  • Q3 revenue hit $4.1B with record 27.4% operating margin, driven by enterprise initiatives adding 140 bps to profitability[1].
  • Full-year EPS guidance narrowed to $10.40–$10.50 with $1.5B share repurchases planned, highlighting disciplined capital allocation[1].
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish

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Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Mondelez has a strong global footprint with a diverse portfolio including popular brands like Oreo and Ritz, ensuring steady market demand.
  • The company reported solid quarterly revenue of $7.30 billion and aims for long-term sales growth of 3%-5%, reflecting growth potential.
  • Analysts have a consensus 'Buy' rating with an average price target implying over 20% upside, indicating positive market sentiment.

Considerations

  • Current stock sentiment is somewhat bearish with price volatility and a modest decrease forecasted in the near term.
  • Profit margins are under pressure with a net margin around 9.84%, which could constrain future earnings growth.
  • Moderate debt levels with a debt-to-equity ratio around 0.69 could pose financial risks if economic conditions worsen or interest rates rise.

Pros

  • Illinois Tool Works has demonstrated consistent earnings performance with strong operational efficiency in industrial manufacturing.
  • The company maintains a robust balance sheet and liquidity position, supporting steady dividend payments and capital allocation.
  • ITW benefits from diverse end markets, limiting exposure to any single cyclical downturn and providing multiple growth avenues.

Considerations

  • Exposure to global industrial and manufacturing cycles introduces risks from economic slowdown or trade disruptions.
  • Commodity price fluctuations and raw material costs may pressure margins given the nature of ITW’s manufacturing inputs.
  • Execution risks exist related to ongoing integration of acquisitions and maintaining innovation in a competitive industrial sector.

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