It Was Never About the Gas
Let’s be clear about why this whole thing was put on ice in the first place. It wasn't because they suddenly realised the gas wasn't there, it is, and in enormous quantities. It wasn't a technical problem or a spreadsheet error. No, the project was halted because of a rather inconvenient insurgency in the Cabo Delgado province. It turns out building a multi billion dollar facility is tricky when you’re dodging bullets.
The fact that it’s restarting tells us something fundamental about investing in the modern world. The crucial variable wasn't the commodity price, it was security. The revival is a testament to a massive, internationally backed effort to stabilise the region. To me, this signals that the biggest risks have been, if not eliminated, at least wrestled into a manageable state by people with far more firepower than your average hedge fund.