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MattelSuper Group

Mattel vs Super Group

Mattel and Super Group are presented here to compare their business models, financial performance, and market context. This page provides a neutral overview of how these companies operate, the sectors...

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Mattel has achieved operational excellence with a focus on growing its IP-driven toy business and expanding entertainment offerings.
  • The company has improved gross margins to approximately 50% despite challenging macroeconomic conditions.
  • Mattel maintains a strong balance sheet and actively repurchases shares, indicating disciplined capital allocation.

Considerations

  • Net sales declined 6% year-over-year in the second and third quarters of 2025, reflecting weakened demand in North America.
  • Exposure to volatile global trade dynamics and shifts in retailer ordering patterns have impacted US business performance.
  • Gross margin decreased by 310 basis points in Q3 2025, suggesting pressure on profitability despite operational improvements.

Pros

  • Super Group operates in the growing online sports betting and gaming industry with leading brands like Betway and Spin.
  • The company raised its full-year 2025 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance, signaling optimistic near-term growth prospects.
  • Market capitalization around $5 billion and a reasonable payout ratio of 54% support financial flexibility.

Considerations

  • Super Group's stock price shows high volatility with a 52-week range from $2.94 to $12.18, indicating investor uncertainty.
  • The gambling and travel leisure sectors expose Super Group to regulatory risks and economic cyclicality.
  • Valuation multiples, including a 2025 P/E ratio near 29.4x, reflect elevated expectations that could limit upside if growth slows.

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