The Unshakeable Economics of Nappies and Rusks
Here’s a simple truth. When times get tough, we adults make compromises. The fancy bottle of wine is swapped for a cheaper one, the weekend away is postponed, and we learn to love supermarket own-brand biscuits. But parents do not, as a rule, negotiate on the essentials for their children. This isn’t sentimentality, it’s a hard economic reality. You can’t explain a market downturn to a baby who needs a fresh nappy.
This creates what economists call inelastic demand. For the rest of us, it means predictable sales, quarter after quarter. During the 2008 financial crisis, while sales of luxury goods fell off a cliff, companies like Procter & Gamble saw their revenues hold remarkably steady. Why? Because parents kept buying Pampers, baby shampoo, and teething rings. For an investor, this translates into a potential source of stability and predictable cash flows, even when the rest of the market is in turmoil.