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Keurig Dr PepperConstellation Brands

Keurig Dr Pepper vs Constellation Brands

This page compares Keurig Dr Pepper and Constellation Brands, examining business models, financial performance, and market context in an accessible, neutral format. It offers an overview of each compa...

Why It's Moving

Keurig Dr Pepper

Keurig Dr Pepper presses ahead with JDE Peet's acquisition as institutional moves signal confidence amid stock rebound.

  • National Pension Service upped its KDP position by 3% in Q3, countering Howard Capital's 69.6% cut, with institutions now owning nearly 94% of shares.
  • JDE Peet's offer at EUR 31.85 per share cleared all competition hurdles, with closing eyed early Q2 2026 after hitting key acceptance thresholds.
  • Stock climbed 2.3% to $27.44 open, buoyed by moderate buy consensus and 3.4% dividend yield, ahead of Q4 2025 earnings on February 24.
Sentiment:
๐ŸƒBullish
Constellation Brands

Constellation Brands Beats Q3 Earnings as Beer Segment Powers Through Headwinds

  • Beer sales edged down 1% to $2.01B on 2.2% shipment volume drop, but pricing gains and strong growth in Pacifico (15%+) and Victoria (13%+) cushioned the impact.
  • Wine and spirits faced ongoing weakness with volume declines, prompting prior divestitures and impairments, yet overall results exceeded forecasts.
  • Board hiked quarterly dividend to $1.02 per share while strong cash flow fueled $604M in share repurchases, underscoring confidence in capital returns.
Sentiment:
๐ŸƒBullish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Keurig Dr Pepper reported strong Q3 2025 results with a 10.7% year-over-year net sales growth, driven by robust U.S. Refreshment Beverages and improving coffee segment trends.
  • The company raised its full-year net sales outlook while reaffirming adjusted EPS guidance, supported by disciplined inflation offset actions and strong innovation.
  • Keurig Dr Pepper holds a significant market position with #1 North American share in single-serve pods and is executing strategic transformation including the JDE Peetโ€™s acquisition.

Considerations

  • The companyโ€™s large scale limits its growth potential compared to smaller competitors, reflected in a below-average 5.9% annual revenue increase over the last three years.
  • Operating margins have declined recently with rising day-to-day expenses outpacing revenue growth, indicating pressure on profitability.
  • Below-average returns on capital suggest challenges in finding attractive investment opportunities to drive future growth.

Pros

  • Constellation Brands is a leading player in premium beverages with a strong portfolio including beer, wine, and spirits, supporting diversified revenue streams.
  • The company benefits from established international distribution networks and strong brand recognition in key markets.
  • Continued innovation and premiumisation trends in alcoholic beverages provide growth catalysts for Constellation Brands.

Considerations

  • Constellation Brands faces macroeconomic headwinds including inflationary pressures and changing consumer preferences that could impact demand.
  • Exposure to regulatory and excise tax changes in alcoholic beverages markets adds risk to profitability and operational costs.
  • High dependence on certain flagship brands and beer segment sensitivity to economic cycles present execution risks.

Related Market Insights

PepsiCo's Celsius Gambit: Why This Partnership Could Reshape the Energy Drink Wars

Explore how PepsiCo's strategic partnership with Celsius is reshaping the energy drink market. Discover investment opportunities in beverage consolidation & supply chain growth.

Author avatar

Aimee Silverwood | Financial Analyst

August 30, 2025

Read Insight

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Next Earnings Date

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) is scheduled to report its next earnings on Tuesday, February 24, 2026, before the market opens. This release will cover the fourth quarter and full year 2025, ending December 31, 2025. A conference call with management will follow at 8:00 AM ET to review the results.

Constellation Brands (STZ) Next Earnings Date

Constellation Brands (STZ) reported its Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings, covering the quarter ended November 30, 2025, on January 7, 2026, with a conference call on January 8. As of February 2, 2026, the next earnings date is estimated for early April 2026, specifically around April 8-10, for Q4 fiscal 2026. This aligns with the company's historical pattern of releasing quarterly results shortly after quarter-end in late February.

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

PepsiCo Celsius Partnership: Market Impact Overview

PepsiCo Celsius Partnership: Market Impact Overview

PepsiCo has increased its investment in Celsius, solidifying a strategic partnership that reshapes its energy drink portfolio. This deal creates a powerful new alliance in the beverage sector, potentially benefiting competitors and supply chain partners as the energy drink market continues to consolidate.

Published: August 30, 2025

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