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Morgan StanleyAmerican Express
Live Report ยท Updated January 26, 2026

Morgan Stanley vs American Express

This page compares Morgan Stanley and American Express, examining their business models, financial performance, and the market context in which they operate. It aims to be neutral and accessible, pres...

Why It's Moving

Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley Earns Zacks 'Strong Buy' Upgrade on Surging Earnings Optimism

  • Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 jumped 8.3% over the past three months, placing MS in the top 5% of stocks for earnings revision trends.
  • The upgrade signals improving fundamentals, with expectations of steady $9.92 per share for fiscal 2025, positioning MS for potential outperformance.
  • Wall Street peers note record $4.3B in equities activity, highlighting MS's strong positioning in a high-valuation environment.
Sentiment:
๐ŸƒBullish
American Express

AXP Dips on Rate Cap Fears Ahead of Pivotal Earnings Test

  • Shares retreated 7% in the first two weeks of January amid 'policy shock' from interest rate cap proposal, pricing in risks to lending profitability.
  • Q4 earnings expected at $3.54 per share (up 16.45% YoY) and $18.86B revenue (up 9.79% YoY), but focus is on guidance for operating costs and policy response.
  • Rising loan loss provisions and double-digit expense growth challenge 9% revenue momentum, prompting potential AI-driven efficiencies to protect affluent customer appeal.
Sentiment:
๐ŸŒ‹Volatile

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Morgan Stanley reported record net revenues of $18.2 billion and a 23.5% return on tangible common equity in Q3 2025.
  • Wealth Management segment achieved a 30% pre-tax margin with $81 billion in net new assets, supporting stable growth.
  • Diversified revenue streams from strong Equity business and a rebound in Investment Banking underpin earnings resilience.

Considerations

  • Equity markets face potential volatility risks, including possible 10-20% corrections forecasted by industry leaders.
  • Stock momentum is neutral with mixed technical indicators, suggesting potential near-term price fluctuations.
  • Morgan Stanley's high market valuation requires continued strong earnings growth to justify current price levels.

Pros

  • American Express maintains a substantial market capitalization near $252 billion, reflecting its strong brand and market position.
  • The company benefits from a large share float and active liquidity, with over 688 million shares outstanding.
  • Recent insider share sales by stock option exercise indicate ongoing management confidence and alignment with shareholder interests.

Considerations

  • American Express is indirectly exposed to potential market sell-off risks given shares were planned for sale through Morgan Stanley.
  • The company faces macroeconomic and consumer spending sensitivity that could impact payment volumes and fee revenue.
  • Competitive pressures in the payment and credit card industry may constrain margin expansion and necessitate continued innovation investment.

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Morgan Stanley (MS) Next Earnings Date

Morgan Stanley's next earnings date is Thursday, January 15, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. ET, with financial results released at approximately 7:30 a.m. ET. This report will cover the fourth quarter and full-year 2025. The conference call will discuss these results, following the company's announced 2026 schedule.

American Express (AXP) Next Earnings Date

American Express is scheduled to report its next earnings on Friday, January 30, 2026, before market open. The report will cover the fourth quarter and full year 2025 results. Analysts are projecting an EPS of approximately $3.53-$3.54 for the quarter, with revenue estimates around $18.93 billion. This earnings announcement will provide investors with the company's year-end financial performance and updated guidance for 2026.

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