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First SolarEcopetrol

First Solar vs Ecopetrol

This page compares First Solar, Inc. and Ecopetrol SA, outlining business models, financial performance, and market context in a neutral, accessible way. It presents comparisons to help readers unders...

Why It's Moving

First Solar

First Solar surges as AI data center boom fuels thin-film solar dominance.

  • UBS hiked its price target to $285, spotlighting First Solar's edge as an AI energy winner driving growth capital rotation.
  • Q3 2025 sales doubled year-over-year to $1.6B, with 2026 revenue eyed above $6.3B and gross margins topping 45% thanks to IRA subsidies.
  • Rumors swirl of multi-year supply deals with tech giants like Amazon and Microsoft, locking in demand amid new Louisiana and India factory ramps.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • First Solar demonstrated strong Q3 2025 financial results with significant increases in net sales, income, and cash balances.
  • The company holds a leading position in the U.S. utility-scale solar market supported by a record solar module backlog of 53.7 GW valued at $16.4 billion.
  • First Solar has improved financial efficiency, achieving positive free cash flow conversion of over 40% and a return on invested capital of 14%.

Considerations

  • Analyst price targets for First Solar show a potential near-term downside with forecasts averaging an 8-11% decline from current prices.
  • The solar industry faces structural margin pressures and regulatory preferences that could constrain near-term profitability growth.
  • Despite strong growth, high volatility and a beta of around 1.5 indicate notable stock price fluctuations and market sensitivity.

Pros

  • Ecopetrol benefits from being the largest oil and gas producer in Colombia with a strong domestic market presence.
  • The company has significant reserves and production capacity, supporting steady revenue generation and cash flow.
  • Recent strategic initiatives focus on increasing operational efficiency and expanding in cleaner energy sectors to enhance long-term sustainability.

Considerations

  • Ecopetrol's earnings and share price are highly sensitive to volatile global oil prices and geopolitical risks.
  • The company faces ongoing regulatory and environmental challenges, particularly related to Colombia’s shifting energy policies and climate targets.
  • Capital expenditures remain large and cyclical, exposing the company to execution risks and potential cash flow variability.

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First Solar (FSLR) Next Earnings Date

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