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CME GroupIntercontinental Exchange
Live Report · Updated January 26, 2026

CME Group vs Intercontinental Exchange

This page compares CME Group Inc. and Intercontinental Exchange, Inc., examining their business models, financial performance, and market context in a neutral, accessible way. It outlines how each org...

Why It's Moving

CME Group

CME Group hits record natural gas trading volumes amid winter storm surge.

  • Natural gas complex volume soared 15% above the 2018 record to 2.576M contracts, with Henry Hub options jumping 28% to a new high of 811K.
  • Winter storm concerns propelled futures to three-year highs, boosting client hedging in deep liquidity markets, per CME's Global Head of Energy.
  • Upcoming product expansions, like a new market data multicast for equity indices and variable tick upgrades starting January 26, signal ongoing platform enhancements.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish
Intercontinental Exchange

ICE Powers Ahead with 24/7 Tokenized Securities Platform, Bridging TradFi and Blockchain

  • Platform supports 24/7 trading of U.S. equities and ETFs, unlocking non-stop global access and efficiency beyond traditional hours.
  • Partnerships with BNY and Citi enable tokenized deposits for clearing, easing cross-border funding and margin needs.
  • ICE VP Michael Blaugrund called it a pivotal step in on-chain infrastructure, signaling the exchange's drive to lead digital finance innovation.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • CME Group is the world’s largest futures exchange by trading volume and notional value, benefiting from strong organic growth and high liquidity, which supports robust fee income.
  • CME has demonstrated resilience in volatile markets, with electronic trading and crypto product expansion further diversifying revenue streams and appealing to institutional and global clients.
  • The company maintains a strong capital position, enabling continued investment in technology, data services, and product expansion while keeping leverage relatively low compared to peers.

Considerations

  • CME’s revenue growth depends heavily on market volatility and trading volumes, exposing it to cyclical downturns and potential weakness in financial market activity.
  • Despite leadership in derivatives, CME faces intense competition from other exchanges and alternative trading venues, which may erode market share over time.
  • Regulatory scrutiny on derivatives and crypto markets could impose compliance costs or limit growth opportunities, particularly as global frameworks evolve.

Pros

  • Intercontinental Exchange benefits from a diversified business model, including data services, listings, and market technology, which provide stable non-trading revenue streams.
  • ICE’s ownership of leading franchises like NYSE and clearinghouse operations provides a competitive moat and recurring income from essential financial infrastructure.
  • The company operates with a lower recent price volatility than CME, potentially appealing to investors seeking steadier equity performance in the exchange sector.

Considerations

  • ICE has underperformed CME in total shareholder return over the past year, with its share price facing significant bearish pressure and weaker momentum.
  • Higher leverage compared to CME, with a notably larger debt burden, may increase financial risk if interest rates rise or earnings falter.
  • ICE’s growth outlook is clouded by regulatory uncertainty and potential headwinds in fixed income and energy markets, core segments of its trading business.

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CME Group (CME) Next Earnings Date

CME Group's next earnings date is Wednesday, February 4, 2026, before markets open. This release will cover the fourth quarter and full year of 2025. A conference call with executives is scheduled for 7:30 a.m. Central Time that day.

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) Next Earnings Date

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is scheduled to report its fourth quarter 2025 earnings on February 5, 2026 before market open. The earnings release will cover the fiscal quarter ending December 31, 2025. Analysts currently expect the company to report earnings of $1.67 per share for this period. A conference call and webcast will accompany the earnings announcement.

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