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Builders FirstSourceDeckers

Builders FirstSource vs Deckers

This page compares Builders FirstSource and Deckers, examining business models, financial performance, and market context in a neutral, accessible way. It presents how these organisations differ in st...

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Builders FirstSource beat Q3 2025 EPS and revenue forecasts, showing resilience with a 18.99% EPS surprise and 2.6% revenue beat despite market softness.
  • The company continues strategic investments in technology and recent acquisitions, expanding its footprint, notably into millwork solutions in new markets like Las Vegas.
  • Analyst consensus is positive, with 17 analysts rating the stock a 'Buy' and setting a 12-month price target implying a potential 32% upside.

Considerations

  • Revenue and adjusted EBITDA declined year-over-year in Q3 2025, with net sales down 6.9% and EBITDA falling by 31%, reflecting weakness in single-family and multifamily markets.
  • The stock's recent sentiment shows bearish tendencies and a Fear & Greed index indicating 39 (Fear), reflecting medium price volatility and market uncertainty.
  • Builders FirstSource experienced a 30% earnings decline in 2024 and faces cyclical risks linked to the construction sector's softness, impacting near-term profitability.

Pros

  • Deckers Outdoor Corp benefits from a strong position in the premium outdoor and footwear market, differentiated by owning brands with loyal customer bases.
  • The company has demonstrated resilience through innovation and brand strength, supporting growth despite broader retail and economic challenges.
  • Deckers has maintained healthy profitability metrics with stable margins supported by premium pricing and efficient supply chain management.

Considerations

  • Deckers faces risks from global supply chain disruptions and inflationary pressures, which can affect costs and inventory management.
  • High exposure to discretionary consumer spending creates cyclicality risks amid uncertain macroeconomic conditions and potential softness in retail demand.
  • Competitive pressure in the athletic and casual footwear market from large incumbents and emerging brands could constrain market share expansion.

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