Mattel vs Lear
Mattel, Inc. and Lear Corp. are compared on this page to illuminate differences in business models, financial performance, and market context, presented in a neutral, accessible tone for readers seeking clear, straightforward understanding. Educational content, not financial advice.
Mattel, Inc. and Lear Corp. are compared on this page to illuminate differences in business models, financial performance, and market context, presented in a neutral, accessible tone for readers seeki...
Which Baskets Do They Appear In?
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Explore BasketWhich Baskets Do They Appear In?
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Explore BasketPlanned Obsolescence
These companies have mastered the art of creating products designed for replacement. Our analysts have carefully selected businesses that benefit from predictable upgrade cycles, generating reliable revenue streams as consumers continually refresh their purchases.
Published: June 17, 2025
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Explore BasketCelebration Economy
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Explore BasketInvestment Analysis
Mattel
MAT
Pros
- Mattel reported better-than-expected Q4 earnings with adjusted EPS of $0.35 beating estimates, and net sales grew 2% year-over-year.
- The company provided an upbeat 2025 outlook, forecasting adjusted EPS of $1.66 to $1.72, higher than analyst consensus, and expects net sales growth of 2-3%.
- Strong growth in key product categories like Vehicles driven by Hot Wheels, along with gross margin expansion and free cash flow generation, shows operational strength.
Considerations
- Second quarter 2025 net sales declined 6% overall, with a 16% decrease in North America offset only partially by international growth.
- Margins face some pressure as Fitch Ratings expects EBITDA margins to decline from 18.3% in 2024 to about 17.5% in 2025/2026.
- Recent earnings forecast revisions trimmed 2025 EPS guidance slightly, indicating caution due to challenging macro factors and trade uncertainties.
Lear
LEA
Pros
- Lear Corporation is a global leader in automotive seating and electrical systems, benefiting from growing electric vehicle adoption and innovation.
- Strong order backlog and increasing content per vehicle drive growth opportunities supported by technological advancements in automotive electronics.
- Maintains a solid liquidity position and disciplined capital allocation to support R&D investment and navigate industry cyclicality.
Considerations
- Exposure to automotive industry cyclicality and supply chain constraints continues to pose execution risks amid global economic uncertainties.
- Profitability is sensitive to raw material costs and commodity price volatility impacting margins negatively.
- Increasing regulatory pressures related to emissions and safety standards could lead to higher operational and compliance costs.
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