Illinois Tool WorksDiageo

Illinois Tool Works vs Diageo

Diageo plc and Illinois Tool Works Inc. This page compares business models, financial performance and market context of the two companies in a neutral, accessible way. It presents high-level informati...

Why It's Moving

Illinois Tool Works

Illinois Tool Works Raises Dividend and Posts Strong Margin Expansion Amid Mixed Revenue Growth

  • Q3 2025 revenue rose 2% to $4.1 billion with organic growth of 1%, slightly below some analyst expectations, indicating steady but modest demand in core markets.
  • Operating margin expanded to a record 27.4%, up 90 basis points, driven by successful enterprise initiatives adding 140 basis points, signaling strong operational efficiency improvements.
  • The Board approved a 7% increase in the quarterly dividend to $1.61 per shareβ€”the 62nd consecutive dividend raiseβ€”alongside $375 million in share buybacks, highlighting robust free cash flow and commitment to shareholder returns.
Sentiment:
βš–οΈNeutral
Diageo

Diageo Shares Dip to New 52-Week Low Amid Analyst Downgrades and Sector Headwinds

  • Shares fell about 2.2% to $85.71, marking a new 52-week low, reflecting investor concerns over near-term growth challenges.
  • Multiple analysts downgraded or reiterated neutral and sell ratings recently, with consensus moving toward a 'Reduce' stance and price targets cut notably.
  • Institutional investors like Raymond James and Envestnet are selectively accumulating shares on the dip, suggesting confidence in long-term fundamentals despite short-term headwinds.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

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EU Tariff Cuts: Which US Companies May Benefit?

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US Companies Shielded from Fed Tariff Stance 2025

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The Domestic Advantage: Tariff-Resistant Industrials

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U.S. Exporters Target Indonesian Growth

U.S. Exporters Target Indonesian Growth

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Skills Over Scrolls: The Trade School Boom

Skills Over Scrolls: The Trade School Boom

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Forever Products

Forever Products

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Acquirer's Engine

Acquirer's Engine

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Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Achieved record operating margins of 27.4% in Q3 2025, driven by strong operational efficiency and margin expansion initiatives.
  • Reported 6% year-over-year increase in earnings per share excluding one-time items, evidencing profitability growth.
  • Generated 15% growth in free cash flow with a high conversion rate of 110%, indicating robust cash generation ability.

Considerations

  • Revenue growth was modest at 2% in Q3 2025, and organic sales increased only 1%, showing limited top-line momentum.
  • Stock price fell despite beating earnings due to investor concerns over revenue performance and mixed analyst sentiment.
  • Dividend payout ratio of 56.44% may constrain reinvestment capacity for growth opportunities going forward.

Pros

  • Diageo is a global leader in premium alcoholic beverages with strong brand portfolio and geographic diversification.
  • Consistent cash generation supports steady dividend payments and potential for share buybacks.
  • Operational improvements and focused premiumisation strategies contribute to margin resilience and growth.

Considerations

  • Exposure to regulatory changes and taxes on alcohol in various markets creates ongoing compliance and cost risks.
  • Growth sensitivity to consumer discretionary spending and macroeconomic fluctuations can impact volumes.
  • Currency fluctuations and geopolitical tensions may adversely affect international revenue and profitability.

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Frequently asked questions