

Illinois Tool Works vs Diageo
Diageo plc and Illinois Tool Works Inc. This page compares business models, financial performance and market context of the two companies in a neutral, accessible way. It presents high-level information to help readers understand similarities and differences without making recommendations. Educational content, not financial advice.
Diageo plc and Illinois Tool Works Inc. This page compares business models, financial performance and market context of the two companies in a neutral, accessible way. It presents high-level informati...
Why It's Moving

Illinois Tool Works Raises Dividend and Posts Strong Margin Expansion Amid Mixed Revenue Growth
- Q3 2025 revenue rose 2% to $4.1 billion with organic growth of 1%, slightly below some analyst expectations, indicating steady but modest demand in core markets.
- Operating margin expanded to a record 27.4%, up 90 basis points, driven by successful enterprise initiatives adding 140 basis points, signaling strong operational efficiency improvements.
- The Board approved a 7% increase in the quarterly dividend to $1.61 per shareβthe 62nd consecutive dividend raiseβalongside $375 million in share buybacks, highlighting robust free cash flow and commitment to shareholder returns.

Diageo Shares Dip to New 52-Week Low Amid Analyst Downgrades and Sector Headwinds
- Shares fell about 2.2% to $85.71, marking a new 52-week low, reflecting investor concerns over near-term growth challenges.
- Multiple analysts downgraded or reiterated neutral and sell ratings recently, with consensus moving toward a 'Reduce' stance and price targets cut notably.
- Institutional investors like Raymond James and Envestnet are selectively accumulating shares on the dip, suggesting confidence in long-term fundamentals despite short-term headwinds.

Illinois Tool Works Raises Dividend and Posts Strong Margin Expansion Amid Mixed Revenue Growth
- Q3 2025 revenue rose 2% to $4.1 billion with organic growth of 1%, slightly below some analyst expectations, indicating steady but modest demand in core markets.
- Operating margin expanded to a record 27.4%, up 90 basis points, driven by successful enterprise initiatives adding 140 basis points, signaling strong operational efficiency improvements.
- The Board approved a 7% increase in the quarterly dividend to $1.61 per shareβthe 62nd consecutive dividend raiseβalongside $375 million in share buybacks, highlighting robust free cash flow and commitment to shareholder returns.

Diageo Shares Dip to New 52-Week Low Amid Analyst Downgrades and Sector Headwinds
- Shares fell about 2.2% to $85.71, marking a new 52-week low, reflecting investor concerns over near-term growth challenges.
- Multiple analysts downgraded or reiterated neutral and sell ratings recently, with consensus moving toward a 'Reduce' stance and price targets cut notably.
- Institutional investors like Raymond James and Envestnet are selectively accumulating shares on the dip, suggesting confidence in long-term fundamentals despite short-term headwinds.
Which Baskets Do They Appear In?
EU Tariff Cuts: Which US Companies May Benefit?
A new trade agreement between the U.S. and the European Union reduces tariffs, creating new opportunities for American exporters. This theme focuses on U.S. industrial, agricultural, and seafood companies poised to benefit from increased access to European markets.
Published: August 22, 2025
Explore BasketUS Companies Shielded from Fed Tariff Stance 2025
The Federal Reserve is holding interest rates steady, signaling that tariff-induced inflation is a primary concern, even over potential employment risks. This creates an investment opportunity in companies that are insulated from international trade disputes and can maintain pricing power during inflationary periods.
Published: August 21, 2025
Explore BasketNavigating Tariff-Driven Inflation
Recent data shows core inflation rising due to new tariffs, creating a complex situation for the Federal Reserve. This highlights an investment opportunity in companies that can thrive in an inflationary environment, particularly those with domestic operations and the ability to set prices.
Published: August 13, 2025
Explore BasketWhich Baskets Do They Appear In?
EU Tariff Cuts: Which US Companies May Benefit?
A new trade agreement between the U.S. and the European Union reduces tariffs, creating new opportunities for American exporters. This theme focuses on U.S. industrial, agricultural, and seafood companies poised to benefit from increased access to European markets.
Published: August 22, 2025
Explore BasketUS Companies Shielded from Fed Tariff Stance 2025
The Federal Reserve is holding interest rates steady, signaling that tariff-induced inflation is a primary concern, even over potential employment risks. This creates an investment opportunity in companies that are insulated from international trade disputes and can maintain pricing power during inflationary periods.
Published: August 21, 2025
Explore BasketNavigating Tariff-Driven Inflation
Recent data shows core inflation rising due to new tariffs, creating a complex situation for the Federal Reserve. This highlights an investment opportunity in companies that can thrive in an inflationary environment, particularly those with domestic operations and the ability to set prices.
Published: August 13, 2025
Explore BasketThe Domestic Advantage: Tariff-Resistant Industrials
Ford has lowered its annual profit forecast due to the financial impact of U.S. tariffs, creating a potential advantage for companies with resilient domestic supply chains. This theme identifies businesses that are well-positioned to outperform in a protectionist trade environment.
Published: July 31, 2025
Explore BasketU.S. Exporters Target Indonesian Growth
The United States and Indonesia have announced a landmark trade agreement, eliminating tariffs on over 99% of U.S. exports. This deal creates a significant opportunity for American companies in the industrial, food, and technology sectors to expand into a large and growing market.
Published: July 23, 2025
Explore BasketSkills Over Scrolls: The Trade School Boom
Mike Rowe's proposal to redirect federal grants from elite universities to trade schools could reshape education funding in America. This carefully selected group of stocks includes companies that stand to benefit if billions flow into vocational trainingβfrom tool manufacturers to trade schools themselves.
Published: July 1, 2025
Explore BasketForever Products
Invest in companies whose brand names are synonymous with generational quality and durability. These carefully selected stocks represent businesses that have built their reputations on creating products that stand the test of time, earning unwavering customer loyalty and premium pricing power.
Published: June 17, 2025
Explore BasketAcquirer's Engine
Invest in companies with proven expertise in growth-by-acquisition. These carefully selected stocks represent businesses with exceptional management teams that consistently buy their way to market leadership and enhanced profitability through strategic M&A.
Published: June 17, 2025
Explore BasketInvestment Analysis
Pros
- Achieved record operating margins of 27.4% in Q3 2025, driven by strong operational efficiency and margin expansion initiatives.
- Reported 6% year-over-year increase in earnings per share excluding one-time items, evidencing profitability growth.
- Generated 15% growth in free cash flow with a high conversion rate of 110%, indicating robust cash generation ability.
Considerations
- Revenue growth was modest at 2% in Q3 2025, and organic sales increased only 1%, showing limited top-line momentum.
- Stock price fell despite beating earnings due to investor concerns over revenue performance and mixed analyst sentiment.
- Dividend payout ratio of 56.44% may constrain reinvestment capacity for growth opportunities going forward.

Diageo
DEO
Pros
- Diageo is a global leader in premium alcoholic beverages with strong brand portfolio and geographic diversification.
- Consistent cash generation supports steady dividend payments and potential for share buybacks.
- Operational improvements and focused premiumisation strategies contribute to margin resilience and growth.
Considerations
- Exposure to regulatory changes and taxes on alcohol in various markets creates ongoing compliance and cost risks.
- Growth sensitivity to consumer discretionary spending and macroeconomic fluctuations can impact volumes.
- Currency fluctuations and geopolitical tensions may adversely affect international revenue and profitability.
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