GarminFICO

Garmin vs FICO

Garmin Ltd. and FICO (Fair Isaac Corp) are compared here across business models, financial performance, and market context, presented in a neutral, accessible way. The page outlines strategies, streng...

Why It's Moving

Garmin

Garmin hits ex-dividend milestone as market shifts test valuation confidence

  • Garmin's $0.90 dividend represents a 4.2% annualized yield, providing consistent income to shareholders on the ex-dividend date of March 13th with payment on March 27th
  • The stock trades at a Forward P/E of 25.68, above its industry average of 25.61, while the PEG ratio of 2.89 significantly exceeds the sector average of 1.61, suggesting elevated growth expectations priced in
  • Recent performance shows 14.6% gains over 30 days and 16.6% year-to-date returns, but the stock's 159.6% three-year surge raises questions about whether current valuation reflects underlying fundamentals or accumulated market optimism
Sentiment:
🌋Volatile
FICO

FICO Stock Faces Whipsaw as Strong Q1 Earnings Clash With Market Volatility and Economic Concerns

  • Q1 earnings crushed expectations with 16% year-over-year revenue growth and strong pricing power in core FICO Scores segment, which jumped 29.2%, driven by mortgage and auto lending demand—yet the Software division showed concerning signs with just 1.2% growth and a 7.6% decline in non-platform annual recurring revenue.
  • Board approved a new $1.5 billion stock repurchase program and announced a $1 billion Senior Notes offering to refinance debt, signaling management confidence in long-term value despite near-term volatility and the stock trading near 52-week lows around $1,085–$1,192.
  • Analyst confidence remains elevated with 15 Buy ratings versus only 1 Sell, and firms like Needham and Bank of America citing FICO's entrenched market position and pricing power, though concerns about prolonged economic downturns potentially reducing demand for scores pose a meaningful headwind to growth expectations.
Sentiment:
🌋Volatile

Investment Analysis

Garmin

Garmin

GRMN

Pros

  • Garmin reported record Q3 2025 revenue of nearly $1.8 billion, driven by growth in its fitness, marine, and aviation segments.
  • The company raised its full-year earnings guidance following strong quarterly results, indicating positive financial momentum.
  • Garmin has delivered substantial long-term returns, with a 163% total return over three years, reflecting durable brand strength and innovation.

Considerations

  • Shares declined nearly 17% in the past month despite strong results, highlighting short-term investor sentiment volatility.
  • The stock trades at a premium valuation with a price-to-earnings ratio around 25, which may limit upside given elevated expectations.
  • Garmin’s key growth segments face intensifying competition in wearable technology and navigation markets, posing execution risks.
FICO

FICO

FICO

Pros

  • Fair Isaac Corporation reported 2025 revenues of $1.99 billion, up 15.9% year-over-year, and earnings increased by 27.1%.
  • The company commands a strong market position with its predictive credit scoring and decision management software used globally.
  • Analysts maintain a bullish outlook, with an average price target implying a nearly 24% upside from current levels.

Considerations

  • FICO's price-to-earnings ratio is elevated above 60, well above its historical average, indicating possibly stretched valuation.
  • The company operates in competitive and rapidly evolving technology sectors, exposing it to innovation and execution risks.
  • FICO's revenue base, though growing, is smaller compared to major tech peers, limiting scale advantages and potentially impacting growth resilience.

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Garmin (GRMN) Next Earnings Date

Garmin's next earnings date is scheduled for April 29, 2026, covering the Q1 2026 period. This follows the most recent Q4 2025 report released on February 18, 2026. Investors should monitor for the earnings call on that date to assess quarterly performance.

FICO (FICO) Next Earnings Date

Fair Isaac (FICO) is estimated to announce its next earnings between April 24 and April 30, 2026, following its most recent report on January 28, 2026, with no official date confirmed yet. This release will cover the first quarter of fiscal 2026 (Q1 FY2026), consistent with the company's historical late-April pattern for Q1 results. Investors should monitor for an official announcement in the coming weeks.

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