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CME GroupIntercontinental Exchange
Live Report · Updated January 21, 2026

CME Group vs Intercontinental Exchange

This page compares CME Group Inc. and Intercontinental Exchange, Inc., examining their business models, financial performance, and market context in a neutral, accessible way. It outlines how each org...

Why It's Moving

CME Group

CME Group shares climb amid record 2025 trading volumes in rates products, fueling optimism into 2026.

  • Rates ADV hit a yearly record of 14.2M contracts, with SOFR futures and options reaching nearly 5.4M ADV for the third straight year.
  • Treasury futures and options ADV soared to 8.3M with open interest at 29.6M, while 2-Year Treasury options doubled volume versus 2024.
  • Weekly Treasury options broke 1M ADOI and 570K ADV records, offering daily hedging tools in a volatile macro environment.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish
Intercontinental Exchange

ICE Charges into Crypto Future with $2B Polymarket Bet and 24/7 Tokenized Trading Push

  • ICE's $2B cash stake in Polymarket delivers real-time sentiment indicators from bets on politics, sports, and markets, supercharging data services for hedge funds and traders.
  • NYSE parent ICE gears up for 24/7 tokenized securities trading, slashing settlement times and boosting liquidity to match crypto's always-on vibe.
  • Leaders Sprecher and Coplan hail the partnership as a bridge to mainstream prediction markets and on-chain infrastructure, with minimal hit to 2025 finances.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • CME Group is the world’s largest futures exchange by trading volume and notional value, benefiting from strong organic growth and high liquidity, which supports robust fee income.
  • CME has demonstrated resilience in volatile markets, with electronic trading and crypto product expansion further diversifying revenue streams and appealing to institutional and global clients.
  • The company maintains a strong capital position, enabling continued investment in technology, data services, and product expansion while keeping leverage relatively low compared to peers.

Considerations

  • CME’s revenue growth depends heavily on market volatility and trading volumes, exposing it to cyclical downturns and potential weakness in financial market activity.
  • Despite leadership in derivatives, CME faces intense competition from other exchanges and alternative trading venues, which may erode market share over time.
  • Regulatory scrutiny on derivatives and crypto markets could impose compliance costs or limit growth opportunities, particularly as global frameworks evolve.

Pros

  • Intercontinental Exchange benefits from a diversified business model, including data services, listings, and market technology, which provide stable non-trading revenue streams.
  • ICE’s ownership of leading franchises like NYSE and clearinghouse operations provides a competitive moat and recurring income from essential financial infrastructure.
  • The company operates with a lower recent price volatility than CME, potentially appealing to investors seeking steadier equity performance in the exchange sector.

Considerations

  • ICE has underperformed CME in total shareholder return over the past year, with its share price facing significant bearish pressure and weaker momentum.
  • Higher leverage compared to CME, with a notably larger debt burden, may increase financial risk if interest rates rise or earnings falter.
  • ICE’s growth outlook is clouded by regulatory uncertainty and potential headwinds in fixed income and energy markets, core segments of its trading business.

CME Group (CME) Next Earnings Date

CME Group's next earnings date is Wednesday, February 4, 2026, before markets open. This release will cover the fourth quarter and full year of 2025. Written highlights post at 6:00 a.m. Central Time, followed by an investor conference call at 7:30 a.m. Central Time.

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) Next Earnings Date

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is scheduled to report its next earnings on Thursday, February 5, 2026, before market open, covering the fourth quarter of 2025. This date aligns with the company's official investor relations announcement for the Q4 2025 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast at 8:30 AM ET. Consensus estimates project earnings of approximately $1.67 per share for this period.

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