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American ExpressRBC

American Express vs RBC

American Express vs RBC: this page compares two major financial services groups, outlining their business models, financial performance, and market context. It explains product strategies, governance ...

Why It's Moving

American Express

AXP Dips on Rate Cap Fears Ahead of Pivotal Earnings Test

  • Shares retreated 7% in the first two weeks of January amid 'policy shock' from interest rate cap proposal, pricing in risks to lending profitability.
  • Q4 earnings expected at $3.54 per share (up 16.45% YoY) and $18.86B revenue (up 9.79% YoY), but focus is on guidance for operating costs and policy response.
  • Rising loan loss provisions and double-digit expense growth challenge 9% revenue momentum, prompting potential AI-driven efficiencies to protect affluent customer appeal.
Sentiment:
🌋Volatile
RBC

RBC Investors Cheer Dividend Boost and Earnings Beat as Institutions Pile In

  • Earnings topped forecasts with EPS of $2.76 versus $2.51 expected and revenue surging 14.2% year-over-year, highlighting resilient banking operations.
  • Quarterly dividend jumped to $1.64 per share from $1.54, delivering an annualized yield of 3.9% and going ex-dividend today, drawing volume spikes.
  • Intact Investment Management ramped up its stake by 13.6% to $121 million, cementing RY as a top holding amid fresh analyst buy ratings.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • American Express delivered strong Q3 2025 results with revenue up 11% and EPS rising 19%, exceeding analyst expectations.
  • The company's premium card strategy and expanding merchant network support sustained transaction growth and market share gains.
  • Robust financial health is evident through margin expansion, capital returns, and increased full-year 2025 guidance.

Considerations

  • Analyst price targets suggest limited upside, with consensus forecasts indicating a potential downside of around 7% from current levels.
  • Stock valuation metrics such as P/E and price-to-book are notably higher than sector averages, raising concerns about relative expensiveness.
  • Technical indicators show the stock is currently overbought, which may increase near-term volatility and downside risk.
RBC

RBC

RY

Pros

  • Royal Bank of Canada has demonstrated strong market cap growth, increasing by nearly 28% over the past year to over $200 billion.
  • The bank maintains a leading position among Canadian financial institutions with a diversified business model and solid profitability.
  • RBC benefits from a stable domestic economy and a reputation for prudent risk management and consistent dividend payouts.

Considerations

  • Exposure to the Canadian housing market creates vulnerability to interest rate changes and potential property market corrections.
  • International operations remain relatively small, limiting diversification benefits compared to global banking peers.
  • Regulatory scrutiny and potential changes in Canadian banking rules could impact future profitability and expansion plans.

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American Express (AXP) Next Earnings Date

American Express is scheduled to report its next earnings on Friday, January 30, 2026, before market open. The report will cover the fourth quarter and full year 2025 results. Analysts are projecting an EPS of approximately $3.53-$3.54 for the quarter, with revenue estimates around $18.93 billion. This earnings announcement will provide investors with the company's year-end financial performance and updated guidance for 2026.

RBC (RY) Next Earnings Date

Royal Bank of Canada's next earnings date is estimated for February 26, 2026. This report will cover the Q1 fiscal 2026 period, aligning with the company's historical late-February pattern for first-quarter results. Note that earlier estimates referenced a Q4 2025 release around December 3, 2025, which has passed without confirmation, shifting focus to the upcoming Q1 estimate.

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