A Brutal History of Cycles
I have been around markets long enough to know that nothing is a sure thing. Memory markets are historically brutal. They are highly cyclical, prone to sudden oversupply, and hyper sensitive to global enterprise spending. If the broader tech infrastructure buildout stalls, this entire thesis could easily unravel. We also cannot ignore the heavy geopolitical risks. Export controls on advanced semiconductor equipment may restrict revenue in key regions. Furthermore, currency fluctuations will always complicate international equity positions. You must understand that all investments carry risk, and you could lose your capital.
The global infrastructure for this new technology is still under construction. Data centres are ravenous, and they demand more compute. That compute requires more memory.
And that memory requires highly specialised machines.
The recent buyback is just the wake up call. The real story is the machinery quietly humming in the background.