The Unexciting Trinity of Survival
So, where does one look for this reassuring dullness? I find it helps to think in terms of a defensive trinity: consumer staples, utilities, and, for the traditionalists, gold miners. These aren't the stocks that will make you a millionaire overnight. Their purpose is entirely different. They are the financial equivalent of a well-stocked pantry and a sturdy roof.
Consumer staples are the most obvious. Think of companies like Procter & Gamble or Coca-Cola. When people start worrying about their jobs, they might cancel a holiday or put off buying a new car. But are they going to stop brushing their teeth or washing their clothes? It’s highly unlikely. This consistent demand gives these companies a resilience that high-flying tech firms can only dream of. Even a value retailer like Walmart often sees its appeal grow when household budgets get squeezed.
Then you have the utilities. Honestly, could anything be more boring? They supply our electricity, gas, and water under regulated, monopolistic conditions. Their profits aren't spectacular, but they are wonderfully predictable. This predictability is what allows them to pay consistent dividends, which can be a welcome source of cash when capital gains are nowhere to be found.