HersheyFEMSA

Hershey vs FEMSA

Major US candy maker with well known brands vs Mexican convenience retailer and beverage bottling giant. Which is the better buy for your portfolio in July 2026? Plain-English answer below.

Hershey commands iconic U.S. candy brands and a dominant grocery shelf presence, defending premium pricing amid rising cocoa costs and health-conscious headwinds, while FEMSA operates an enormous conv...

Why It’s Moving

Hershey

HSY Stock Tumbles as Analysts Warn of Deep Downside Risk Amid Commodity Squeeze

  • Analysts have lowered price targets and shifted ratings to 'Underweight' due to elevated oil and commodity costs squeezing profit margins.
  • Investors are reacting to the company's revised 2024 forecasts, which now reflect challenges from high input prices and tighter retail inventories.
  • Sector sentiment has turned bearish as consensus holds that the stock faces significant overvaluation risks in the current market environment.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish
FEMSA

Analyst Consensus on FMX Echarts Buy Momentum Following Q1 Earnings Beat and Retail Resilience

  • Q1 earnings beat projections by forecasting EPS growth of 24.4% year-over-year, driven by expanding revenue and resilient retail dynamics.
  • Multiple analysts have upgraded FMX to a 'Buy' rating, citing the stock's undervalued price relative to its projected 12-month performance and strong operational moat.
  • Key institutional partners like UBS and Jefferies reinforced the positive outlook after reviewing recent data showing sustained consumer spending and improved margins.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Hershey raised its 2025 net sales outlook to a 3% year-over-year increase, reflecting stronger business momentum.
  • The company is advancing its Agility & Automation Initiative, expected to deliver $150 million in cost savings in 2025.
  • Hershey has a strong balance sheet with $1.16 billion in cash and $4.56 billion in stockholders’ equity as of Q3 2025.

Considerations

  • Reported EPS is expected to decline 48-50% in 2025 due to higher commodity, tariff costs, and unfavorable sales mix.
  • Rising tariff expenses, forecasted between $160 million and $170 million in 2025, add notable cost pressure.
  • Hershey’s stock has declined about 9.4% over the past three months amidst margin pressures and rising input costs.

Pros

  • FEMSA is well diversified with dominant OXXO convenience stores and strong beverage operations in Latin America.
  • Management has focused on divesting non-core assets and is returning cash to shareholders, indicating capital discipline.
  • The stock offers a dividend yield of approximately 2.17%, providing attractive income relative to peers.

Considerations

  • FEMSA’s valuation is elevated with a price-to-earnings ratio around 34-42, which might limit upside in the near term.
  • The company is exposed to economic volatility and trade tensions between the US and Mexico, which can impact performance.
  • Growth is partly dependent on expansion in other Latin American markets where competitive and macro risks remain.

Hershey (HSY) Next Earnings Date

The next earnings report for HSY Stock is expected to be released on July 29, 2026, covering the second quarter of fiscal year 2026. This date aligns with the company's historical reporting schedule, though the precise announcement has not yet been officially confirmed by Hershey. Investors should anticipate the release of Q2 2026 financial results, including revenue and earnings per share data, during this timeframe. As always, no financial advice or downside risk recommendations are provided in this update.

FEMSA (FMX) Next Earnings Date

The next earnings report for Fomento Económico Mexicano (FMX) is estimated to be released on July 28, 2026, covering the second quarter (Q2) of fiscal year 2026. This date aligns with the company's historical reporting schedule for Q2, though the company has not yet officially confirmed the specific announcement time. Investors should anticipate the release of finalized financial results, including EPS and revenue figures, shortly after this date. Please note that this information is for factual tracking purposes and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation regarding price targets.

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Frequently asked questions

HSY
HSY$182.08
vs
FMX
FMX$129.16
Buy HSY