Hershey vs FEMSA

This STOCK vs STOCK page compares Hershey Company, The and FEMSA (Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B de C.V). It examines business models, financial performance, and market context in a neutral, accessible way. Educational content, not financial advice.

This STOCK vs STOCK page compares Hershey Company, The and FEMSA (Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B de C.V). It examines business models, financial performance, and market context in a neutral, access...

Comparison Snapshot

Key Financial Metrics

HSY

Metric

FMX

$45.14B

Market Cap

$35.77B

-13.56%

Potential Profit

-3.85%

Hold

Analyst Rating

Buy

Why It's Moving

HSY Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -15% Downside Risk

Q4 revenue jumped 7% to $3.1B, topping estimates, with adjusted EPS of $1.71 crushing forecasts by 22%, driving the sharp post-earnings rally.
FY2026 EPS guidance of $8.20-$8.52 far exceeded consensus, signaling robust profit restoration, yet stock's 52% 52-week gain leaves it overvalued per analyst means.
DA Davidson lifted target to $243 on February 6 citing innovation pipeline and brand reinvestment, but 'Neutral' stance underscores threats from GLP-1 drugs and program shifts.

Sentiment:

🐻Bearish

FMX Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -2% Downside Risk

Overbought momentum with RSI at 71.9 and Stochastic %K at 96.8 flags exhaustion, implying a near-term pullback after 13% YTD gains.
Weekly forecast predicts -3.47% decline based on high correlation with similar stock patterns, underscoring downside vulnerability.
Barclays lifted target to $116 on Feb 12, yet consensus leans hold with limited upside, as broader technicals mix 3 buys against 5 sells.

Sentiment:

🐻Bearish

HSY Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -15% Downside Risk

Q4 revenue jumped 7% to $3.1B, topping estimates, with adjusted EPS of $1.71 crushing forecasts by 22%, driving the sharp post-earnings rally.
FY2026 EPS guidance of $8.20-$8.52 far exceeded consensus, signaling robust profit restoration, yet stock's 52% 52-week gain leaves it overvalued per analyst means.
DA Davidson lifted target to $243 on February 6 citing innovation pipeline and brand reinvestment, but 'Neutral' stance underscores threats from GLP-1 drugs and program shifts.

Sentiment:

🐻Bearish

FMX Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -2% Downside Risk

Overbought momentum with RSI at 71.9 and Stochastic %K at 96.8 flags exhaustion, implying a near-term pullback after 13% YTD gains.
Weekly forecast predicts -3.47% decline based on high correlation with similar stock patterns, underscoring downside vulnerability.
Barclays lifted target to $116 on Feb 12, yet consensus leans hold with limited upside, as broader technicals mix 3 buys against 5 sells.

Sentiment:

🐻Bearish

Investment Analysis

Hershey

HSY

Pros

Hershey raised its 2025 net sales outlook to a 3% year-over-year increase, reflecting stronger business momentum.
The company is advancing its Agility & Automation Initiative, expected to deliver $150 million in cost savings in 2025.
Hershey has a strong balance sheet with $1.16 billion in cash and $4.56 billion in stockholders’ equity as of Q3 2025.

Considerations

Reported EPS is expected to decline 48-50% in 2025 due to higher commodity, tariff costs, and unfavorable sales mix.
Rising tariff expenses, forecasted between $160 million and $170 million in 2025, add notable cost pressure.
Hershey’s stock has declined about 9.4% over the past three months amidst margin pressures and rising input costs.

FEMSA

FMX

Pros

FEMSA is well diversified with dominant OXXO convenience stores and strong beverage operations in Latin America.
Management has focused on divesting non-core assets and is returning cash to shareholders, indicating capital discipline.
The stock offers a dividend yield of approximately 2.17%, providing attractive income relative to peers.

Considerations

FEMSA’s valuation is elevated with a price-to-earnings ratio around 34-42, which might limit upside in the near term.
The company is exposed to economic volatility and trade tensions between the US and Mexico, which can impact performance.
Growth is partly dependent on expansion in other Latin American markets where competitive and macro risks remain.

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