General Mills vs Constellation Brands
This page compares General Mills and Constellation Brands, examining their business models, financial performance, and market context in a neutral, accessible way. Educational content, not financial advice.
This page compares General Mills and Constellation Brands, examining their business models, financial performance, and market context in a neutral, accessible way. Educational content, not financial a...
Why It's Moving
General Mills Earnings Beat Sparks Valuation Debate Amid Revenue Pressures
- EPS hit $1.10, topping expectations of $1.03 by $0.07, highlighting strong cost controls and operational efficiency.
- Revenue came in at $4.86B versus $4.78B forecast but dropped 7.2% year-over-year, reflecting cautious consumer spending on staples.
- Stock seen as 15.2% undervalued at fair value of $52.47 versus recent $44.49 close, fueling optimism for core brand rebounds.
Constellation Brands Trims FY26 Outlook Amid Beer Segment Resilience, Sparking Mixed Investor Signals.
- Beer revenue dipped just 1% in the latest period, a sharp improvement from the prior 5% contraction, signaling demand stabilization for premium Mexican imports.
- FY26 comparable EPS guidance cut to $11.30-$11.60 from $12.60-$12.90, reflecting cautious macro pressures but paired with steady capex at $1.2 billion.
- Distanced from Canopy investment via major write-offs, positioning STZ for potential upside in emerging THC drinks if legalization advances.
General Mills Earnings Beat Sparks Valuation Debate Amid Revenue Pressures
- EPS hit $1.10, topping expectations of $1.03 by $0.07, highlighting strong cost controls and operational efficiency.
- Revenue came in at $4.86B versus $4.78B forecast but dropped 7.2% year-over-year, reflecting cautious consumer spending on staples.
- Stock seen as 15.2% undervalued at fair value of $52.47 versus recent $44.49 close, fueling optimism for core brand rebounds.
Constellation Brands Trims FY26 Outlook Amid Beer Segment Resilience, Sparking Mixed Investor Signals.
- Beer revenue dipped just 1% in the latest period, a sharp improvement from the prior 5% contraction, signaling demand stabilization for premium Mexican imports.
- FY26 comparable EPS guidance cut to $11.30-$11.60 from $12.60-$12.90, reflecting cautious macro pressures but paired with steady capex at $1.2 billion.
- Distanced from Canopy investment via major write-offs, positioning STZ for potential upside in emerging THC drinks if legalization advances.
Investment Analysis
Pros
- General Mills maintains a dominant portfolio of leading food brands with broad consumer loyalty and a strong presence in staple grocery categories.
- The company’s strong return on equity, recently above 30%, highlights efficient use of shareholder capital relative to many packaged food peers.
- Recent share price declines have led to valuation measures suggesting the stock is notably undervalued on several forward-looking metrics.
Considerations
- Revenue and earnings have declined year-on-year, reflecting weakening organic growth amid shifting consumer preferences and increased competition.
- The stock has significantly underperformed the market over the past year, with negative total returns for both short- and longer-term investors.
- General Mills faces ongoing execution risks adapting its product portfolio to evolving food trends, with innovation lagging behind some competitors.
Pros
- Constellation Brands holds exclusive US distribution rights for top-selling Mexican beer brands, underpinning a wide economic moat and pricing power.
- The company has consistently achieved premiumisation-driven growth in beer volumes despite a stagnant overall US beer market.
- Constellation’s stock currently trades at a substantial discount to analyst estimates of intrinsic value, suggesting potential upside.
Considerations
- The business is heavily reliant on the US market, particularly its Mexican beer portfolio, creating concentration risk if consumer tastes shift.
- Constellation’s growth prospects are closely tied to the cyclical and regulatory dynamics of the alcoholic beverage industry.
- Recent financials show a lower reported stock value compared to some large consumer staples peers, possibly reflecting tighter working capital management.
Related Market Insights
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August 17, 2025
Related Market Insights
When the Going Gets Tough, the Tough Go Shopping: Why Consumer Staples Are Your Best Defence
Discover why consumer staples offer resilience during inflation & economic uncertainty. Learn how essential goods companies provide stable demand & defensive positioning for your portfolio.
Aimee Silverwood | Financial Analyst
August 17, 2025
General Mills (GIS) Next Earnings Date
General Mills' next earnings date is estimated for Wednesday, March 18, 2026, following the recent release of Q2 fiscal 2026 results on December 17, 2025. This report will cover Q3 fiscal 2026, ending around February 2026. The date aligns with the company's historical quarterly reporting pattern, though it remains unconfirmed by management.
Constellation Brands (STZ) Next Earnings Date
Constellation Brands (STZ) reported its Q3 2026 earnings on January 7, 2026, after market close, with the conference call held on January 8, 2026. This covered the quarter ended November 30, 2025. The next earnings release for Q4 2026 is estimated for early April 2026, based on historical patterns.
General Mills (GIS) Next Earnings Date
General Mills' next earnings date is estimated for Wednesday, March 18, 2026, following the recent release of Q2 fiscal 2026 results on December 17, 2025. This report will cover Q3 fiscal 2026, ending around February 2026. The date aligns with the company's historical quarterly reporting pattern, though it remains unconfirmed by management.
Constellation Brands (STZ) Next Earnings Date
Constellation Brands (STZ) reported its Q3 2026 earnings on January 7, 2026, after market close, with the conference call held on January 8, 2026. This covered the quarter ended November 30, 2025. The next earnings release for Q4 2026 is estimated for early April 2026, based on historical patterns.
Which Baskets Do They Appear In?
Resilience In The Aisles: Consumer Staples
A recent survey shows U.S. consumer sentiment has fallen due to persistent inflation, reaching its lowest point in four months. This theme focuses on consumer staples companies, which tend to remain stable as households prioritize essential goods over discretionary purchases.
Published: August 17, 2025
Explore BasketWhich Baskets Do They Appear In?
Resilience In The Aisles: Consumer Staples
A recent survey shows U.S. consumer sentiment has fallen due to persistent inflation, reaching its lowest point in four months. This theme focuses on consumer staples companies, which tend to remain stable as households prioritize essential goods over discretionary purchases.
Published: August 17, 2025
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