Dollar Tree vs Burlington
Dollar Tree (Dollar Tree, Inc.) and Burlington Stores, Inc. are compared here to illuminate their business models, financial performance, and market context in neutral, accessible terms. This page provides a concise overview of similarities and differences to help readers form an informed view. Educational content, not financial advice.
Dollar Tree (Dollar Tree, Inc.) and Burlington Stores, Inc. are compared here to illuminate their business models, financial performance, and market context in neutral, accessible terms. This page pro...
Why It's Moving
Dollar Tree Beats Q3 Estimates and Lifts Guidance, Signaling Resilience in Discount Retail
- Revenue hit $4.75B, edging past $4.69B estimates with 4.2% same-store sales rise, showing shoppers hunting bargains in core Dollar Tree stores.
- Adjusted EPS of $1.21 crushed $1.08 consensus by 11.8%, fueled by operating margin expansion to 7.2% from 4.4% last year.
- Q4 revenue guide of $5.4B-$5.5B aligns with forecasts, while full-year EPS outlook boosted to $5.70 midpoint, boosting investor confidence in holiday momentum.
Dollar Tree Beats Q3 Estimates and Lifts Guidance, Signaling Resilience in Discount Retail
- Revenue hit $4.75B, edging past $4.69B estimates with 4.2% same-store sales rise, showing shoppers hunting bargains in core Dollar Tree stores.
- Adjusted EPS of $1.21 crushed $1.08 consensus by 11.8%, fueled by operating margin expansion to 7.2% from 4.4% last year.
- Q4 revenue guide of $5.4B-$5.5B aligns with forecasts, while full-year EPS outlook boosted to $5.70 midpoint, boosting investor confidence in holiday momentum.
Which Baskets Do They Appear In?
Value Retail Stocks (Budget-Conscious Consumer Play)
With consumer sentiment falling, particularly among budget-conscious households, spending habits are shifting towards value-focused retailers. This theme identifies companies poised to attract customers who are looking to stretch their dollars on essential goods.
Published: September 14, 2025
Explore BasketConsumer Sentiment Drop (Four-Month Low) Aids Retailers
A sharp drop in consumer sentiment to a four-month low indicates that households, especially lower and middle-income ones, are feeling financial pressure. This creates an investment opportunity in discount and off-price retailers, which stand to gain as consumers shift their spending to value-oriented stores.
Published: September 13, 2025
Explore BasketDiscount Retailers: What's Next as Job Market Cools
Recent data shows that initial jobless claims have risen to their highest level since June, signaling a potential cooling of the U.S. labor market. This trend could shift consumer spending towards essentials and value, benefiting discount retailers and consumer staples companies.
Published: September 5, 2025
Explore BasketWhich Baskets Do They Appear In?
Value Retail Stocks (Budget-Conscious Consumer Play)
With consumer sentiment falling, particularly among budget-conscious households, spending habits are shifting towards value-focused retailers. This theme identifies companies poised to attract customers who are looking to stretch their dollars on essential goods.
Published: September 14, 2025
Explore BasketConsumer Sentiment Drop (Four-Month Low) Aids Retailers
A sharp drop in consumer sentiment to a four-month low indicates that households, especially lower and middle-income ones, are feeling financial pressure. This creates an investment opportunity in discount and off-price retailers, which stand to gain as consumers shift their spending to value-oriented stores.
Published: September 13, 2025
Explore BasketDiscount Retailers: What's Next as Job Market Cools
Recent data shows that initial jobless claims have risen to their highest level since June, signaling a potential cooling of the U.S. labor market. This trend could shift consumer spending towards essentials and value, benefiting discount retailers and consumer staples companies.
Published: September 5, 2025
Explore BasketDiscount Retail Trends 2025: Market Analysis & Risks
Walmart has raised its sales and earnings forecast, demonstrating strong performance despite rising tariff costs. This success highlights an investment opportunity in discount retailers and the logistics companies that support their growing e-commerce operations.
Published: August 22, 2025
Explore BasketConsumer Caution: Investing In Value And Staples
A recent drop in consumer sentiment, fueled by persistent inflation, suggests a potential slowdown in consumer spending. This environment could benefit companies that offer essential goods and value, such as consumer staples and discount retailers.
Published: August 20, 2025
Explore BasketConsumer Caution: Value Prevails
A sharp drop in consumer sentiment, driven by persistent inflation fears, signals a potential shift in household spending. This theme focuses on companies poised to benefit as consumers prioritize essential goods and seek value.
Published: August 18, 2025
Explore BasketThe Great Retail Price Divide
This collection of stocks represents retailers capitalizing on Amazon's price increases by offering better deals on everyday essentials. These companies were carefully selected by our analysts for their potential to attract budget-conscious shoppers looking for more affordable alternatives.
Published: July 21, 2025
Explore BasketEveryday Essentials
These companies power our daily lives by offering must-have products at wallet-friendly prices. Carefully selected by our analysts, this collection features retail giants with business models built to thrive even when consumers are watching every penny.
Published: June 17, 2025
Explore BasketInvestment Analysis
Dollar Tree
DLTR
Pros
- Dollar Tree operates one of North America's largest discount variety retail chains with a diverse product assortment across fixed- and multi-price stores.
- The company has outlined a three-year outlook projecting 12-15% compounded annual EPS growth from 2026 to 2028, supported by cost benefit timing and operational improvements.
- Dollar Tree's share price exhibits lower volatility than the broader market with a beta of 0.86, indicating relatively reduced market risk.
Considerations
- Dollar Tree reported a significant net loss of approximately $3 billion recently despite higher revenues, indicating profitability challenges.
- The company faces execution risks tied to cost items like tariff mitigations, distribution capacity limitations, and legacy impacts from the Family Dollar divestiture.
- Its return on invested assets was 7.65% in Q2 2025, which is relatively low compared with sector peers, reflecting efficiency concerns.
Burlington
BURL
Pros
- Burlington Stores generates solid profitability with net income of over $500 million on nearly $11 billion in revenue, demonstrating stronger earnings than Dollar Tree.
- The company benefits from a focused fashion-oriented merchandise strategy including apparel, home goods, and accessories, providing product differentiation.
- Burlington's market position as a value retailer in apparel retailing supports steady margins and operational performance amid retail competitiveness.
Considerations
- Shares are more volatile than the market with a beta of 1.64, increasing investment risk relative to Dollar Tree.
- With a profit margin below 5%, Burlington shows moderate profitability that may be pressured by inflation and consumer spending patterns.
- The company faces cyclicality risks inherent in apparel retail, which may impact performance in economic downturns or shifts in consumer preferences.
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