ValeroTarga Resources

Valero vs Targa Resources

Valero refines crude oil into transportation fuels at massive scale across the Gulf Coast and elsewhere, while Targa Resources gathers and processes natural gas liquids in the Permian Basin and beyond...

Why It's Moving

Valero

VLO Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -15% Downside Risk

  • Technical sell signal from pivot top persists since early July 2025, with shares down 8.29% and MACD confirming further downside until a new bottom forms.
  • Wolfe Research and TipRanks caution VLO is priced for unsustainable peak margins, projecting sizable drops as cash flows normalize amid softening refiner tailwinds.
  • Consensus forecasts vary widely, averaging around $143-$228 targets versus recent highs near $254, signaling 15%+ downside if bearish calls gain traction.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish
Targa Resources

TRGP Faces Analyst Warnings of 13% Downside Amid Mixed Signals and Recent Dividend Boost

  • Technical indicators show a sell signal with the stock in a weak rising trend, risking a break below $162.85 that could signal a broader reversal.
  • Targa approved a 25% dividend increase to $5.00 annually, payable May 15, reflecting strong cash flow confidence ahead of earnings.
  • Broader analyst consensus leans Moderate Buy with upside potential, though short-term evaluations have downgraded to Sell candidate due to negative signals.
Sentiment:
🌋Volatile

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Valero Energy has a diverse business model with three segments: refining, renewable diesel, and ethanol, providing multiple revenue streams.
  • The company reported a strong third-quarter 2025 earnings beat and generated significant free cash flow, returning $1.3 billion to shareholders during that period.
  • Valero maintains a solid market position with a $51.65 billion market capitalization and a stable dividend yield of approximately 2.67%.

Considerations

  • Valero’s stock price is forecasted by some analysts to decline by around 11% to approximately $150 by the end of 2025, reflecting near-term pricing pressure.
  • The company’s valuation scores modestly on some metrics, scoring 2 out of 6 on valuation checks, indicating potential concerns about overvaluation.
  • Energy market cyclicality and volatility in refining margins and oil prices create execution and earnings risks, especially during supply chain disruptions.

Pros

  • Targa Resources is a sizable energy infrastructure company with a market capitalization around $36.55 billion, signaling a strong industry presence.
  • The company operates in midstream energy, benefiting from stable fee-based revenues and growing demand for natural gas gathering and processing.
  • Targa has been expanding asset capacity and enhancing operational efficiency, positioning itself to leverage growth in natural gas production.

Considerations

  • Targa Resources faces regulatory and commodity price exposure risks inherent to the midstream energy sector, which may pressure margins.
  • The company’s growth is sensitive to natural gas market fluctuations and shifts in energy demand, posing cyclicality risks.
  • Targa’s stock price performance is less broadly covered by analysts and presents less immediate price target visibility compared to larger integrated energy firms.

Valero (VLO) Next Earnings Date

Valero Energy (VLO) is scheduled to report Q1 2026 earnings on April 30, 2026 before the market opens. Analysts are forecasting earnings per share of $2.70 with revenue expected at approximately $31.04 billion for the quarter. This earnings release will provide investors with the company's first-quarter performance and updated guidance for the fiscal year.

Targa Resources (TRGP) Next Earnings Date

Targa Resources' next earnings release is expected on May 7, 2026 before market open, covering the Q1 2026 results. This timing aligns with the company's typical quarterly reporting schedule, following their February 2026 earnings release. Investors should anticipate the earnings announcement and conference call details to be disclosed closer to the release date.

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Frequently asked questions

VLO
VLO$241.90
vs
TRGP
TRGP$248.37