SAPShopify

SAP vs Shopify

Global enterprise software leader powering business management vs Cloud commerce platform powering merchants around the world. Which is the better buy for your portfolio in September 2026? Plain-English answer below.

SAP dominates enterprise resource planning with a massive global installed base that it's migrating toward cloud subscriptions, while Shopify runs the leading commerce platform for small and mid-sized...

Why It’s Moving

SAP

SAP slips on analyst caution, but strong cloud momentum keeps the growth story intact

  • SAP shares were pressured after fresh analyst downgrades, with Santander cutting its view even as the company’s cloud business continued to grow strongly.
  • The latest quarterly update showed double-digit cloud growth and a 26% rise in current cloud backlog, which suggests demand remains healthy and helps support the longer-term growth story.
  • Investors also reacted to a softer near-term tone around the software sector and broader DAX weakness, while SAP’s upcoming conference appearance is keeping attention on management’s forward commentary.
Sentiment:
🌋Volatile
Shopify

Shopify’s strong Q2 growth and upbeat guidance kept analysts leaning higher in the past week.

  • Analysts stayed constructive after Shopify’s Q2 results, which showed revenue up 34% and GMV up 32%, reinforcing the view that its platform is still gaining share with merchants.
  • Several firms lifted their outlooks in early August, with higher targets reflecting confidence that the company can sustain strong growth while converting more sales into cash flow.
  • The recent move also ties back to Shopify’s upbeat Q3 revenue guidance and improving profitability, which suggested that growth is not coming at the expense of margins.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish

Investment Analysis

SAP

SAP

SAP

Pros

  • SAP showed strong cloud revenue growth of 27% in Q3 2025, indicating robust demand for its cloud offerings.
  • The company has a substantial cloud backlog of €18.8 billion, up 23%, providing revenue visibility.
  • SAP’s IFRS operating profit increased by 12% with a 14% increase in non-IFRS operating profit, reflecting improved profitability.

Considerations

  • The SAP stock price is forecasted to decline by about 10.5% by December 2025, suggesting potential near-term market weakness.
  • The current market sentiment on SAP shares is bearish with a Fear & Greed index of 39, indicating investor caution.
  • SAP faces valuation pressure with a forward price-to-earnings ratio above 33, which may limit upside given growth expectations.

Pros

  • Shopify maintains a very strong liquidity position with a quick ratio above 3.5, indicating good short-term financial health.
  • The company exhibits strong return on assets of over 16%, reflecting efficient asset utilisation.
  • Shopify is positioned in the growing technology and software application sector, which supports long-term growth opportunities.

Considerations

  • Shopify's valuation multiples are very high, including a price-to-earnings ratio near 90, suggesting the stock may be overvalued.
  • Profitability metrics such as return on equity are lower compared to some industry peers, highlighting potential efficiency concerns.
  • The stock shows recent trading price volatility and a slight downward movement, implying some execution or market risk.

SAP (SAP) Next Earnings Date

SAP’s next earnings date is expected on October 21, 2026, based on its usual reporting pattern. The upcoming release should cover Q3 2026 results. Investors should note that this date is an estimate unless SAP formally confirms it.

Shopify (SHOP) Next Earnings Date

The next expected earnings date for Shopify (SHOP) is November 3, 2026. This release would cover the company’s third quarter of 2026. The date is an estimate, and the company has typically reported around early November following its August second-quarter results.

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