ProgressiveBBVA

Progressive vs BBVA

Large US auto insurer with direct and broker sales vs Spanish bank with international operations in Spain and Mexico. Which is the better buy for your portfolio in July 2026? Plain-English answer below.

Progressive relentlessly prices auto risk better than its peers while BBVA operates a sprawling international retail banking franchise anchored in Spain and Mexico. Both institutions generate strong r...

Why It’s Moving

Progressive

Progressive stays in focus as analysts debate how much upside is still left in the stock.

  • Analyst sentiment is mixed, with several firms keeping a Hold stance while others still see room for gains, suggesting investors are weighing steady fundamentals against a less aggressive outlook for the stock.
  • Recent analyst updates in late June and early July included both maintained Buy/Hold views and a Wells Fargo downgrade to Sell, which has likely kept expectations anchored and limited a sharper re-rating.
  • The wider forecast range remains unusually spread out, with targets clustering from roughly the low $200s to above $300, showing that Wall Street remains divided on how much of Progressive’s insurance earnings strength is already priced in.
Sentiment:
⚖️Neutral
BBVA

BBVA is moving on mixed analyst signals and a wide valuation debate, not a fresh company-specific shock.

  • Analyst sentiment remains mixed but constructive, with one consensus source showing 9 buys, 13 holds, and 1 sell, while BBVA’s own analyst page lists a broader mix that still skews positive overall.
  • Recent analyst actions have mostly been maintained rather than upgraded, which suggests the market is digesting already-strong expectations instead of pricing in a fresh catalyst.
  • The bigger driver is the gap between valuation views: published targets cluster in a wide range, signaling uncertainty about how much further BBVA can rerate after its recent run.
Sentiment:
⚖️Neutral

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Reported an 11% increase in net premiums written to $6.837 billion in April 2025, reflecting strong premium growth.
  • Net income surged 134% year-over-year to $986 million, driven by improved underwriting efficiency and revenue growth.
  • Total policies in force grew by 17%, indicating solid market share expansion in personal and commercial auto insurance.

Considerations

  • Earnings per share forecast for FY2025 was recently reduced by analysts, suggesting potential near-term earnings pressure.
  • Missed quarterly earnings estimates in the most recent report, with EPS of $4.45 versus expected $5.04.
  • Stock declined about 13.8% year-to-date, underperforming peers and reflecting investor concerns about sector regulatory and premium trends.
BBVA

BBVA

BBVA

Pros

  • Large and diversified banking operations across multiple regions including Spain, Mexico, Turkey, South America, and the US.
  • Reported a net income of $11.88 billion on $36.85 billion revenue in the trailing twelve months, showing substantial profitability.
  • Relatively low price-to-earnings ratio of about 9.1x, below sector averages, suggesting potential valuation appeal.

Considerations

  • Shares show moderate volatility with a beta of 1.46, indicating higher sensitivity to market fluctuations.
  • Valuation metrics like price/book and PEG ratios are slightly above sector averages, possibly indicating less discount than peers.
  • Analyst consensus upside is limited with a slight potential downside in fair value estimates.

Progressive (PGR) Next Earnings Date

The next earnings date for PGR (Progressive Corporation) is expected to be July 15, 2026, based on the company’s usual mid-July reporting pattern. The report would cover Q2 2026. If the date has shifted, it would most likely still fall in the mid-July window around that scheduled release.

BBVA (BBVA) Next Earnings Date

BBVA’s next earnings date is expected on July 30, 2026, with some sources indicating a July 29, 2026 after-market-close release. The report will cover Q2 2026 earnings for the quarter ended June 2026. For investor planning, the company’s earnings timing is therefore centered on the final week of July 2026.

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Frequently asked questions

PGR
PGR$220.47
vs
BBVA
BBVA$26.05
Buy BBVA