ProgressiveBBVA

Progressive vs BBVA

Large US auto insurer with direct and broker sales vs Spanish bank with international operations in Spain and Mexico. Which is the better buy for your portfolio in September 2026? Plain-English answer below.

Progressive relentlessly prices auto risk better than its peers while BBVA operates a sprawling international retail banking franchise anchored in Spain and Mexico. Both institutions generate strong r...

Why It’s Moving

Progressive

Progressive stays in focus as earnings resilience meets a softer insurance pricing backdrop

  • Progressive’s latest earnings readout showed stronger-than-expected profit, but revenue came in a bit light, suggesting pricing strength is still being offset by slower top-line momentum.
  • The stock is also trading against a softer property-and-casualty backdrop, where industry pricing has eased after a long stretch of increases, which can pressure future underwriting growth.
  • Broader market jitters over inflation, rates, and risk appetite have added a cautious tone to insurance names, keeping investors focused on margin durability and claims trends.
Sentiment:
⚖️Neutral
BBVA

BBVA stays in focus as analyst confidence and buyback momentum keep the stock supported.

  • JPMorgan reiterated a positive stance on BBVA and raised its target slightly, reinforcing the view that the bank’s earnings and balance-sheet strength still look resilient even after a strong run.
  • The broader European bank trade remains firm, with investors still leaning on healthy loan growth, supportive rates, and steady capital returns as the sector keeps attracting attention.
  • BBVA’s buyback progress continues to support sentiment, as investors tend to read ongoing capital returns as a sign management sees the stock as undervalued and the capital base as robust.
Sentiment:
⚖️Neutral

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Reported an 11% increase in net premiums written to $6.837 billion in April 2025, reflecting strong premium growth.
  • Net income surged 134% year-over-year to $986 million, driven by improved underwriting efficiency and revenue growth.
  • Total policies in force grew by 17%, indicating solid market share expansion in personal and commercial auto insurance.

Considerations

  • Earnings per share forecast for FY2025 was recently reduced by analysts, suggesting potential near-term earnings pressure.
  • Missed quarterly earnings estimates in the most recent report, with EPS of $4.45 versus expected $5.04.
  • Stock declined about 13.8% year-to-date, underperforming peers and reflecting investor concerns about sector regulatory and premium trends.
BBVA

BBVA

BBVA

Pros

  • Large and diversified banking operations across multiple regions including Spain, Mexico, Turkey, South America, and the US.
  • Reported a net income of $11.88 billion on $36.85 billion revenue in the trailing twelve months, showing substantial profitability.
  • Relatively low price-to-earnings ratio of about 9.1x, below sector averages, suggesting potential valuation appeal.

Considerations

  • Shares show moderate volatility with a beta of 1.46, indicating higher sensitivity to market fluctuations.
  • Valuation metrics like price/book and PEG ratios are slightly above sector averages, possibly indicating less discount than peers.
  • Analyst consensus upside is limited with a slight potential downside in fair value estimates.

Progressive (PGR) Next Earnings Date

The next earnings date for PGR is expected on October 14, 2026. It will cover Q3 2026 results. Progressive has not formally confirmed the date yet, but this timing matches its typical mid-October reporting pattern.

BBVA (BBVA) Next Earnings Date

BBVA’s next earnings date is October 29, 2026, and it is expected to cover Q3 2026 results. This fits the company’s usual late-October reporting pattern for third-quarter earnings. Investors should expect the release to be presented in Madrid time.

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