New OrientalAfya

New Oriental vs Afya

New Oriental pivoted hard after China's crackdown on private tutoring, rebuilding itself around overseas test prep, cultural programs, and live-commerce, while Afya trains Brazilian medical students t...

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Revenue grew 13.6% year-on-year in 2025, reflecting strong demand for private education services in China.
  • The company maintains a low beta, indicating relatively stable stock performance compared to the broader market.
  • Expansion into livestreaming e-commerce and private label products diversifies revenue streams beyond traditional education.

Considerations

  • Net profit margin remains modest at around 7.4%, limiting profitability despite revenue growth.
  • Stock valuation is relatively high, with a trailing P/E above 25, which may limit upside if growth slows.
  • Regulatory risks persist in China's education sector, potentially affecting future expansion and profitability.
Afya

Afya

AFYA

Pros

  • Afya operates a diversified portfolio of medical and health-related education programmes in Brazil, supporting stable demand.
  • The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a current ratio above 1.4, indicating solid short-term liquidity.
  • Valuation metrics are attractive, with a P/E ratio below 11 and a price-to-sales ratio of 2.6, suggesting relative value.

Considerations

  • Interest coverage is relatively low at 2.76, raising concerns about debt servicing capacity if rates rise.
  • The business is exposed to Brazilian economic volatility, including currency and regulatory risks.
  • Growth in the Brazilian education sector may be constrained by macroeconomic challenges and limited per capita spending.

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EDU
EDU$59.23
vs
AFYA
AFYA$13.81