New OrientalStride

New Oriental vs Stride

New Oriental pivoted from test-prep tutoring to vocational education and live e-commerce after China's regulatory crackdown dismantled its core business, demonstrating an ability to adapt that few pee...

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • New Oriental reported a 13.6% revenue increase in 2025, reaching $4.90 billion, with earnings rising 20.07%, indicating strong financial growth.
  • The company operates a diversified business model across four segments including educational services, e-commerce, overseas consulting, and educational materials.
  • Analysts maintain a generally positive outlook with an average 'Buy' rating and expect about 10% annual revenue growth through 2026, aligning with industry growth rates.

Considerations

  • Despite growth, New Oriental's stock price targets suggest slight declines around 2.9% to 3.6%, reflecting some market caution or valuation concerns.
  • The stock recently missed earnings per share estimates, reporting $1.61 versus consensus of $1.74, which might signal earnings volatility.
  • The company's net margin is modest at approximately 7.36%, and return on equity is relatively moderate at about 10.77%, indicating efficiency challenges.

Pros

  • Stride operates a unique model offering virtual and hybrid K-12 education programs, leveraging the growing demand for alternative schooling options.
  • The company demonstrates strong financial health with a high quick ratio of 5.28 and interest coverage of over 40, reflecting solid liquidity and low financial risk.
  • Stride shows efficient asset utilization and profitability with a normalized return on assets of 16.2% and return on equity of 26.17%, indicating effective capital management.

Considerations

  • Stride's reliance on contractual agreements with school districts may expose it to regulatory or funding risks tied to public education budgets.
  • Its valuation metrics, including a price-to-book ratio above 4, suggest the stock may be priced for growth, potentially limiting upside in a down market.
  • As a small growth company in a sector with variable policy and competitive risks, Stride faces execution challenges to sustain growth amid changing education dynamics.

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EDU$53.49
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LRN$97.52