INGBarclays

ING vs Barclays

Large Dutch bank serving European consumers and businesses vs Major UK bank with global retail and investment services. Which is the better buy for your portfolio in October 2026? Plain-English answer below.

ING Groep operates as a large European universal bank with digital banking leadership and significant wholesale banking franchises across Europe and internationally, while Barclays runs a transatlanti...

Why It’s Moving

ING

ING Groep Analysts Eye Q3 Beat and Margin Strength Despite Downside Warnings

  • Analysts anticipate a potential Q3 earnings beat that could serve as a key re-rating catalyst for the stock.
  • The bank's core mortgage segment is gaining market share against competitors, supported by strong demand in the European housing sector.
  • Pricing discipline and digital engagement are cited as primary drivers supporting future margins, even amid deposit rate hikes by Dutch rivals.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish
Barclays

Barclays Targets Efficiency Gains with Major AI-Driven Workforce Reduction Despite Q3 Earnings Miss

  • The bank is implementing a 5% workforce reduction attributed to AI-driven productivity gains, aiming to improve the cost-to-income ratio in the UK segment over FY27 and FY28.
  • Third-quarter pre-tax profit rose 12% to £2.3 billion, supporting a new £500 million share buyback, although total income lagged consensus due to weaker global markets' income in the Investment Bank division.
  • Analysts from UBS and RBC Capital Markets maintained positive ratings on the stock despite the earnings miss, citing robust asset quality and the long-term benefits of the technology-led cost-cutting program.
Sentiment:
⚖️Neutral

Investment Analysis

ING

ING

ING

Pros

  • ING Groep reported strong growth in net interest and fee income, with a rolling average return on equity of 12.6% in 2025.
  • The bank launched a generative AI chatbot across six markets, demonstrating a commitment to digital innovation and operational efficiency.
  • ING maintains a robust capital position, with a CET1 ratio of 13.4% and leverage ratio of 4.4%, both well above regulatory requirements.

Considerations

  • ING's share price has surged over 50% in 2025, raising concerns about valuation as traditional metrics suggest limited upside potential.
  • The bank faces increased regulatory capital requirements, with the fully loaded CET1 requirement rising to 11.00% from 2026.
  • Operating expenses, while controlled, remain under pressure as the bank invests in technology and digital transformation.

Pros

  • Barclays delivered resilient profitability in 2025, supported by strong performance in its investment banking and wealth management divisions.
  • The bank has maintained a disciplined approach to capital allocation, with a CET1 ratio above regulatory minimums and regular shareholder distributions.
  • Barclays has made progress in simplifying its business model, focusing on core UK and US operations to improve efficiency and risk management.

Considerations

  • Barclays remains exposed to volatile global markets, particularly in investment banking, which can lead to earnings fluctuations.
  • The bank faces ongoing regulatory scrutiny and compliance costs, especially in its international operations and conduct risk areas.
  • Barclays' share price has underperformed sector peers in 2025, reflecting investor concerns about growth prospects and competitive pressures.

ING (ING) Next Earnings Date

ING Groep (ING) is scheduled to release its next earnings report on October 29, 2026. The report will cover the third quarter of fiscal 2026. This date is consistent with ING’s established quarterly reporting schedule following its second-quarter results in late July.

Barclays (BCS) Next Earnings Date

The next earnings date for BCS has not been confirmed yet. Based on the company's historical reporting pattern of releasing results approximately three months after the previous quarter, the upcoming report is expected in January 2027. This anticipated release will cover the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026.

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