Home Depot vs TJX

Home Depot and TJX are contrasted on this page to compare business models, financial performance, and market context. The analysis is presented in clear, straightforward terms to support neutral understanding of strategy, operations, and market positioning. Educational content, not financial advice.

Home Depot and TJX are contrasted on this page to compare business models, financial performance, and market context. The analysis is presented in clear, straightforward terms to support neutral under...

Comparison Snapshot

Key Financial Metrics

HD

Metric

TJX

$384.80B

Market Cap

$166.66B

2.59%

Potential Profit

12.45%

Buy

Analyst Rating

Strong Buy

Why It's Moving

Home Depot confronts housing headwinds and new competition amid AI innovation push.

Cautious 2026 outlook projects flat to 2% comparable sales growth due to high interest rates curbing big-ticket spending, though a housing recovery could lift it to 4-5%.
Chinese competitor Vevor enters Houston, challenging Home Depot's dominance as shares trade at a lofty P/E of 26.3x amid housing uncertainty.
Launched agentic AI tools with Google Cloud on January 11 to streamline customer projects, plus new research on January 20 underscoring skilled labor gaps in construction.

Sentiment:

⚖️Neutral

TJX Crushes Q3 Expectations with 7% Sales Surge and Raised Full-Year Outlook, Eyeing 7,000 Global Stores.

Q3 net sales hit $15.1B, up 7% YoY with 5% comp sales growth, exceeding expectations and signaling robust shopper demand for value deals.
Diluted EPS rose 12% to $1.28; company returned $1.1B to shareholders in Q3 and $3.1B over nine months via buybacks and dividends.
Upped FY26 guidance and ambitious 7,000-store expansion plan underscore confidence in capturing more market share amid strong merchandise availability.

Sentiment:

🐃Bullish

Home Depot confronts housing headwinds and new competition amid AI innovation push.

Cautious 2026 outlook projects flat to 2% comparable sales growth due to high interest rates curbing big-ticket spending, though a housing recovery could lift it to 4-5%.
Chinese competitor Vevor enters Houston, challenging Home Depot's dominance as shares trade at a lofty P/E of 26.3x amid housing uncertainty.
Launched agentic AI tools with Google Cloud on January 11 to streamline customer projects, plus new research on January 20 underscoring skilled labor gaps in construction.

Sentiment:

⚖️Neutral

TJX Crushes Q3 Expectations with 7% Sales Surge and Raised Full-Year Outlook, Eyeing 7,000 Global Stores.

Q3 net sales hit $15.1B, up 7% YoY with 5% comp sales growth, exceeding expectations and signaling robust shopper demand for value deals.
Diluted EPS rose 12% to $1.28; company returned $1.1B to shareholders in Q3 and $3.1B over nine months via buybacks and dividends.
Upped FY26 guidance and ambitious 7,000-store expansion plan underscore confidence in capturing more market share amid strong merchandise availability.

Sentiment:

🐃Bullish

Investment Analysis

Home Depot

HD

Pros

Home Depot benefits from strong brand recognition and a dominant position in the US home improvement retail sector.
The company maintains robust capital returns, with a solid dividend payout ratio and consistent share buybacks.
Recent financial results show revenue growth and strong sales in high-value categories, supported by both professional and retail customer demand.

Considerations

Home Depot faces increasing competition in the home improvement space, which could pressure market share and margins.
Sales growth is sensitive to housing market trends and consumer spending, making it vulnerable to economic downturns.
Recent quarters have seen a decline in return on invested capital and some pressure from slower inventory turnover and exchange-rate movements.

TJX

Pros

TJX operates a successful off-price retail model with strong margins and a diversified international footprint.
The company has demonstrated resilience in volatile markets, with lower price volatility compared to many peers.
TJX maintains a conservative balance sheet and consistently generates strong cash flow from operations.

Considerations

TJX's business is highly dependent on sourcing inventory at favourable prices, which can be disrupted by supply chain issues.
The off-price retail sector faces growing competition from both traditional retailers and e-commerce platforms.
International operations expose TJX to currency fluctuations and geopolitical risks in key markets.

Related Market Insights

Clicks and Bricks: Why Hybrid Retail Is Crushing Pure Digital

Discover why hybrid retail, blending physical stores with digital channels, is outperforming pure online. Explore investment opportunities in this thriving 'clicks and bricks' model with Nemo.