LululemonRalph Lauren

Lululemon vs Ralph Lauren

This page compares Lululemon and Ralph Lauren, examining how their business models, financial performance, and market context relate and differ. It offers neutral explanations of strategy, revenue str...

Why It's Moving

Lululemon

Lululemon beats Q3 sales estimates and boosts buyback as CEO departs, sparking 10% stock surge.

  • Q3 revenue hit $2.57B, beating estimates by 3.7% and signaling resilient demand despite 1% same-store sales growth slowdown[1].
  • EPS of $2.59 crushed expectations by 17.1%, though next-quarter guidance missed slightly, highlighting operational strength with caution ahead[1].
  • CEO Calvin McDonald steps down in January after a tough year, a move investors welcomed, plus $1B buyback hike to boost confidence[1][4].
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish
Ralph Lauren

Ralph Lauren Stock Dips Amid Consumer Slowdown Fears Ahead of Fed Decision

  • Stock dropped 3.6% intraday to close at $356.42, tracking sector declines tied to softer U.S. consumer spending indicators[3].
  • Weak retail sales and subpar factory orders signal potential pullback in discretionary purchases, hitting fashion brands like RL[3].
  • Brand hosted buzzy Holiday Experience pop-up in West Hollywood on Dec 6-7, blending vintage Polo styles and festive activations to sustain holiday momentum[4][5].
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

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Heritage Luxury Revival

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This carefully selected group of premium and luxury brands is riding the wave of renewed market confidence. Inspired by Burberry's successful turnaround strategy, these established names with strong heritage could be the next to unlock significant value for investors.

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Status Sellers

Status Sellers

These aren't just companies—they're creators of desire and status symbols. Our analysts have carefully selected brands that don't simply sell products, but offer consumers a way to showcase success and exclusivity. Their ability to maintain prestige translates to impressive pricing power and lasting market advantage.

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Fashion

Fashion

"Fashion has to do with ideas" as Coco Chanel once said, and these fashion stocks represent some of the most innovative ideas in retail. This collection has been carefully selected by our analysts to capture the growing $2.25 trillion apparel market.

Published: May 6, 2025

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Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Lululemon trades at a significantly discounted valuation compared to sector peers, with a forward P/E around 11x and EV/EBITDA near 7x.
  • The company maintains a loyal customer base and strong market presence in the athletic apparel segment, supporting brand resilience.
  • International markets, particularly China, offer attractive growth potential as domestic challenges subside.

Considerations

  • Revenue and earnings growth have sharply decelerated, with EPS expected to decline 11-13% this year amid weak U.S. sales.
  • Increased promotional activity and higher input costs have pressured gross margins and profitability.
  • Stronger competition and macro headwinds, including tariffs, continue to challenge near-term performance.

Pros

  • Ralph Lauren demonstrates stable earnings momentum and solid investor confidence, reflected in positive analyst estimate revisions.
  • The brand benefits from a balanced global growth strategy and ongoing digital-first expansion initiatives.
  • Premium valuation metrics reflect enduring brand strength and sustainable performance in the luxury segment.

Considerations

  • Forward P/E ratio is higher than industry median, making the stock less attractive on a valuation basis.
  • Growth remains dependent on maintaining brand elevation in a competitive luxury market.
  • Exposure to global economic cycles could impact discretionary spending and retail performance.

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