Capital OneTD

Capital One vs TD

This page compares Capital One and TD, examining their business models, financial performance, and market context. It presents neutral, accessible explanations of how each institution structures its o...

Why It's Moving

Capital One

Capital One Hits 12-Month High on Analyst Upgrade and Dividend Boost, Signaling Investor Confidence in Growth Path

  • Analyst upgrade from Wolfe Research highlights successful Discover integration potential, driving share price strength despite integration costs.[3]
  • Company hiked quarterly dividend to $0.80 from $0.60, annualizing to $3.20 and underscoring commitment to returns even with a high 135% payout ratio.[1][2]
  • CEO Richard Fairbank voiced confidence in U.S. consumer resilience, pointing to steady jobless claims as a buffer against economic pressures.[4]
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish
TD

TD Bank surges on earnings beat and analyst upgrades signaling resilient growth amid banking rally.

  • Q4 earnings crushed forecasts at C$2.18 EPS, underscoring robust performance across Canadian and U.S. retail segments despite macro headwinds.
  • Bank of America hiked price target to C$132 on December 5, implying 8% upside and reflecting optimism on TD's operational streamlining.
  • Stock jumped C$1.90 to C$121.99 with elevated volume, extending a 4.9% weekly gain amid sector rotation into undervalued banks.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

Fed Policy Pivot | Tech and Financial Stock Opportunities

Fed Policy Pivot | Tech and Financial Stock Opportunities

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has signaled a potential conclusion to the central bank's balance sheet reduction, a move that would inject more liquidity into financial markets. This policy shift creates an opportunity for companies sensitive to interest rates and capital availability, particularly within the technology and financial sectors.

Published: October 15, 2025

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The Apple Card Shake-Up: A New Financial Partnership

The Apple Card Shake-Up: A New Financial Partnership

JPMorgan Chase is reportedly taking over as the issuer for the Apple Card, replacing Goldman Sachs in a major financial partnership shift. This development could create opportunities for other payment processors and financial institutions involved in the co-branded credit card market.

Published: July 30, 2025

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The Apple Card Shake-Up: A New Financial Alliance

The Apple Card Shake-Up: A New Financial Alliance

JPMorgan Chase is poised to become the new issuer for the Apple Card, taking over from Goldman Sachs in a landmark deal. This shift in financial partnerships creates potential ripple effects for payment networks and the broader fintech infrastructure supporting them.

Published: July 30, 2025

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Unlocking Value: The Finance Arm Spinoff

Unlocking Value: The Finance Arm Spinoff

Harley-Davidson is negotiating the sale of a stake in its financing arm, a strategic move to raise significant capital. This theme focuses on other manufacturers with large, valuable financing units that could be prime candidates for similar spin-offs or sales to unlock value.

Published: July 29, 2025

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Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Capital One has a strong market presence with diverse financial products and a large employee base exceeding 53,000.
  • Analyst consensus shows an average price target suggesting a potential upside of around 15-20% over the next year.
  • The company has demonstrated resilience with a solid market capitalization and strong backing from institutional investors.

Considerations

  • Return on equity and assets are relatively low compared to peers, indicating less efficiency in generating returns.
  • Recent insider selling and mixed analyst ratings may suggest some uncertainty regarding the company’s near-term performance.
  • Short-term technical forecasts predict a price decline of up to around 8-9% within the next year, reflecting cautious market sentiment.
TD

TD

TD

Pros

  • Toronto-Dominion Bank exhibits strong profitability with a net income of $14.69 billion and a relatively low PE ratio near 9.7.
  • The bank has diversified operations across Canadian and U.S. markets with segments including wealth management and wholesale banking.
  • TD offers a healthy dividend yield around 3.66%, providing steady income to investors.

Considerations

  • TD faces regulatory constraints limiting U.S. retail segment expansion, which may cap growth opportunities in a major market.
  • The bank’s share trades at a premium valuation compared to Morningstar’s fair value estimate, possibly limiting upside potential.
  • Macroeconomic factors including interest rate changes and economic conditions in North America may impact earnings volatility.

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