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SAPShopify

SAP vs Shopify

An objective comparison of SAP SE and Shopify Inc., this page covers their business models, financial performance, and market context. It explains how each company creates value, where growth is focus...

Why It's Moving

SAP

SAP Stock Craters on Cloud Backlog Miss Despite Earnings Beat and Massive Buyback.

  • Q4 EPS surged 16% on 30% cloud bookings jump, highlighting robust AI demand, yet cloud backlog grew slower than expected, fueling doubts on momentum.
  • New โ‚ฌ10 billion share repurchase through 2027 signals management confidence in cash flow, but conservative 2026 outlook for 23-25% cloud revenue growth fell short of lofty hopes.
  • Dismissal of three executives over stolen trade secrets adds governance clouds, amplifying the post-earnings plunge amid rising short interest.
Sentiment:
๐ŸปBearish
Shopify

Shopify Stock Hits Oversold Levels, Signaling Potential Rebound Ahead of Earnings

  • SHOP's 14-day RSI at 16.4 screams oversold, historically sparking rebounds with 100% success rate over the past decade and average 12% gains one month out.
  • Short interest plunged 22.4% in January, easing selling pressure while analysts like Wedbush hike targets to $185 with Outperform ratings.
  • Upcoming earnings spotlight AI integrations and partner program tweaks, with shares near 260-day moving average that has held as support 80% of the time recently.
Sentiment:
๐ŸƒBullish

Investment Analysis

SAP

SAP

SAP

Pros

  • SAP showed strong cloud revenue growth of 27% in Q3 2025, indicating robust demand for its cloud offerings.
  • The company has a substantial cloud backlog of โ‚ฌ18.8 billion, up 23%, providing revenue visibility.
  • SAPโ€™s IFRS operating profit increased by 12% with a 14% increase in non-IFRS operating profit, reflecting improved profitability.

Considerations

  • The SAP stock price is forecasted to decline by about 10.5% by December 2025, suggesting potential near-term market weakness.
  • The current market sentiment on SAP shares is bearish with a Fear & Greed index of 39, indicating investor caution.
  • SAP faces valuation pressure with a forward price-to-earnings ratio above 33, which may limit upside given growth expectations.

Pros

  • Shopify maintains a very strong liquidity position with a quick ratio above 3.5, indicating good short-term financial health.
  • The company exhibits strong return on assets of over 16%, reflecting efficient asset utilisation.
  • Shopify is positioned in the growing technology and software application sector, which supports long-term growth opportunities.

Considerations

  • Shopify's valuation multiples are very high, including a price-to-earnings ratio near 90, suggesting the stock may be overvalued.
  • Profitability metrics such as return on equity are lower compared to some industry peers, highlighting potential efficiency concerns.
  • The stock shows recent trading price volatility and a slight downward movement, implying some execution or market risk.

Related Market Insights

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Aimee Silverwood | Financial Analyst

July 26, 2025

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SAP (SAP) Next Earnings Date

SAP SE's next earnings date was January 29, 2026, covering the fourth quarter and full year 2025 results, released before the market open. As of February 2, 2026, this report has just been published, with the subsequent Q1 2026 earnings anticipated on or around April 23, 2026. Investors should monitor official SAP Investor Relations channels for any updates to the schedule.

Shopify (SHOP) Next Earnings Date

Shopify's next earnings date is Wednesday, February 11, 2026, prior to market open, covering the fourth quarter and full-year 2025. A conference call with management will follow at 8:30 a.m. ET. This aligns with the company's official announcement and historical reporting cadence.

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

Win-Win Partners

Win-Win Partners

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Published: June 17, 2025

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