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AtlassianCelestica

Atlassian vs Celestica

This page compares Atlassian and Celestica, exploring how their business models differ, how their financial performance is presented, and how each operates within its market context. The tone remains ...

Why It's Moving

Atlassian

Atlassian Hits 52-Week Low Amid AI Worries, Sparking Debate on Buying Opportunity

  • TD Cowen cut price target from $205 to $175 on Hold rating due to weak AI product uptake, pressuring medium-term growth outlook ahead of Q2 earnings on Feb 5.
  • Stock tumbled 14% in the past week on heavy volume, yet DCF models suggest 50% upside to intrinsic value of $238, drawing value investor interest.
  • Rovo initiative surges to 3.5M monthly users with 50% QoQ growth, poised for $400-600M Cloud ARR by 2027, bolstering enterprise teamwork momentum.
Sentiment:
🌋Volatile

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Atlassian has a strong cloud revenue growth of 30% year-over-year, supporting its cloud-first strategy and accelerating growth.
  • The company has high returns with a normalized return on equity of 76.78% and return on invested capital of 34.40%, indicating effective capital use.
  • Atlassian is expanding AI initiatives such as Rovo and Atlassian Intelligence, which could generate $400-$600 million in revenue by 2027.

Considerations

  • Atlassian trades at a very high price-to-earnings ratio (over 60x normalized P/E) and high valuation multiples, which may imply overvaluation risks.
  • The company faces competitive pressures from other team collaboration software providers like GitLab and Smartsheet, increasing market challenges.
  • Atlassian reported a negative interest coverage ratio (-7.26), signaling potential issues with interest expense management.

Pros

  • Celestica recently beat earnings estimates with Q3 2025 EPS of $1.58 versus estimated $1.43, reflecting improved profitability.
  • The company has a solid market capitalization around $39.2 billion, supporting liquidity and financial strength.
  • Celestica shows a positive earnings growth trajectory with EPS increases from $1.04 to $1.58 year-over-year.

Considerations

  • Celestica trades at a high price-to-earnings ratio of 57.12, indicating it may be valued expensively relative to earnings.
  • The stock price has shown volatility, which can imply higher investment risk in terms of price stability.
  • Celestica operates in a cyclical electronics manufacturing environment, which exposes it to fluctuations in global demand and supply chain risks.

Atlassian (TEAM) Next Earnings Date

Atlassian (TEAM) is scheduled to report its next earnings on February 5, 2026 after market close, covering the second quarter of fiscal year 2026. The company's investor relations page confirms this date with a conference call scheduled for 5:00 PM ET. Analysts currently expect the company to report earnings per share of $1.12 for the quarter, with revenue estimated around $1.54 billion.

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