TerniumCMC

Ternium vs CMC

This page compares Ternium (Ternium S.A.) and CMC (Commercial Metals Company) across business models, financial performance, and market context in a neutral, accessible way. It outlines corporate stru...

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Mexico Tariffs: What's Next for Local Industry?

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Published: September 12, 2025

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China's Manufacturing Rebound

China's Manufacturing Rebound

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Published: June 30, 2025

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Japan's Tariff-Driven Supply Chain Shift

Japan's Tariff-Driven Supply Chain Shift

As US tariffs threaten Japanese exports, manufacturers are looking to relocate production to tariff-friendly countries like Mexico and Canada. This carefully selected group of stocks represents companies positioned to benefit from this major supply chain realignment.

Published: June 30, 2025

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Mexico's Economic Turnaround

Mexico's Economic Turnaround

A carefully curated selection of companies poised to benefit from Mexico's improving economic stability. Professional investors have identified these stocks based on their potential to capitalize on a stronger peso, increased foreign investment, and rising domestic demand.

Published: June 30, 2025

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Mexico's Export Boom

Mexico's Export Boom

Mexico's surprising trade surplus signals a major economic shift, creating exciting investment opportunities. This collection features carefully selected companies positioned to benefit from the growing trend of nearshoring and Mexico's expanding role as North America's manufacturing powerhouse.

Published: June 30, 2025

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Mexico's Stable Rise

Mexico's Stable Rise

Mexico's economy is showing impressive signs of stability with a narrowing current account deficit. This collection features companies set to thrive from a potentially stronger peso, increased consumer spending, and renewed investor confidence in Mexico's economic future.

Published: June 30, 2025

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Investment Analysis

Pros

  • CMC's recent acquisition of Foley Products Company for $1.84 billion enhances its precast platform, positioning it as the #3 U.S. precast player with immediate scale benefits.
  • The company maintains strong liquidity with a current ratio of 2.82 and expects to reduce net debt/EBITDA below 2.0x within 18 months after the acquisition.
  • CMC has a long history of stable shareholder returns, highlighted by 244 consecutive quarterly dividends and a steady dividend yield around 1.25%.

Considerations

  • Q3 FY2025 net earnings declined to $83.1 million from $119.4 million year-over-year, indicating recent profitability pressures.
  • The company's interest coverage ratio is moderate at 3.11, which could constrain financial flexibility amid rising debt from the recent acquisition.
  • CMC operates in a cyclical steel industry with exposure to fluctuating raw material prices and construction sector demand, potentially increasing earnings volatility.
CMC

CMC

CMC

Pros

  • Ternium has a diversified steel and mining business with operations spanning Mexico, Brazil, and Southern regions, providing geographic growth opportunities.
  • Despite recent earnings volatility, Ternium exhibits strong asset growth momentum of over 32% in the trailing 12 months, indicating expansion efforts.
  • The stock has strong analyst sentiment and technical interest, reflected in an overall positive consensus and increased hedge fund holdings recently.

Considerations

  • Ternium reported a significant earnings miss with a negative EPS of -$3.71 in its last quarter, adversely impacting its share price.
  • The company shows a negative trailing 12-month return on equity at -5.51%, suggesting challenges in profitability and capital efficiency.
  • Ternium's stock price has underperformed both the US metals and mining industry and the broader market over the past year, showing weak relative performance.

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