TC EnergyMPLX

TC Energy vs MPLX

This page compares TC Energy and MPLX, examining how each company structures its business models, what informs its financial performance, and how they operate within broader market contexts. The analy...

Why It's Moving

TC Energy

TC Energy Extends Strong EBITDA Growth Outlook Following Robust Q3 Results

  • Q3 2025 comparable EBITDA reached $2.7 billion, up from $2.4 billion year-over-year, signaling enhanced operational performance and market demand.
  • The company updated its EBITDA guidance with anticipated growth to $10.8–11.0 billion in 2025 and $12.6–13.1 billion by 2028, reflecting confidence in sustained cash flow expansion.
  • Declared a quarterly dividend of $0.85 per share for Q4 2025, underscoring commitment to shareholder returns amid ongoing strategic investments.
Sentiment:
πŸƒBullish
MPLX

MPLX LP boosts quarterly distribution amid robust Q3 earnings and strategic portfolio moves

  • Reported Q3 net income of $1.545 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $1.8 billion, surpassing analyst expectations and signaling strong operational performance.
  • Increased quarterly distribution by 12.5% to $1.0765 per common unit, supported by a 1.3x distribution coverage ratio, underlining confidence in sustainable cash flow.
  • Executed portfolio optimization with the acquisition of a Delaware Basin sour gas treating business and divestiture of Rockies assets, funded partly through $4.5 billion senior notes issuance to enhance growth focus on Permian and Marcellus basins.
Sentiment:
πŸƒBullish

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

OPEC+ Opens The Taps: Midstream's Moment

OPEC+ Opens The Taps: Midstream's Moment

OPEC+ has decided to maintain its policy of gradually increasing oil production to meet rising global demand. This creates an investment opportunity in companies that provide the essential midstream services, such as transportation and storage, which will see increased business from the higher oil supply.

Published: July 25, 2025

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Investment Analysis

Pros

  • TC Energy has a large and diversified network of 93,700 kilometers of natural gas pipelines across North America, providing stable cash flow from essential infrastructure.
  • The company has sanctioned over $5 billion in low-risk, accretive growth projects backed by long-term contracts, supporting its EBITDA growth outlook through 2028.
  • TC Energy offers a generous dividend yield around 4.78%, recently increased, reflecting strong cash generation and shareholder returns.

Considerations

  • Its valuation metrics show a premium Price/Book and Price/LTM Sales compared to the sector average, suggesting a relatively higher valuation.
  • Exposure to regulated natural gas assets means sensitivity to regulatory risks and fluctuating energy policies in North America.
  • While diversified geographically, TC Energy's focus on natural gas pipelines limits its exposure to faster-growing renewable energy trends.
MPLX

MPLX

MPLX

Pros

  • MPLX is a diversified, large-cap master limited partnership with significant midstream energy infrastructure and logistics assets.
  • It benefits from stable cash flow due to its focus on transportation and storage of natural gas and crude oil with established contracts.
  • MPLX’s structure as an MLP typically offers attractive distributions for income-focused investors, supported by its size and asset base.

Considerations

  • As a midstream operator, MPLX is exposed to commodity price volatility which can impact volumes and cash flow stability.
  • Its midstream logistics business faces competition from larger players which could pressure margins and growth opportunities.
  • The partnership structure may complicate tax considerations for some investors and impose constraints on capital allocation flexibility.

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