Southern Copper vs Newmont
This page compares the business models, financial performance, and market context of Southern Copper and Newmont, offering clear, accessible insight into how each company operates, creates value, and competes within its sector. The tone is neutral and informative, designed to help readers understand these companies without guidance or recommendations. Educational content, not financial advice.
This page compares the business models, financial performance, and market context of Southern Copper and Newmont, offering clear, accessible insight into how each company operates, creates value, and ...
Why It's Moving
Southern Copper Hits 52-Week High After Crushing Q3 Earnings Expectations
- Q3 net sales soared 15.2% year-over-year to a record $3.38 billion, beating estimates of $3.05 billion, driven by higher volumes of silver, molybdenum, and zinc, signaling diversified revenue resilience.[1][3][4]
- Earnings per share of $1.35 topped forecasts by $0.09, highlighting cost discipline and expansion plans that position SCCO for sustained copper market deficits tied to AI and decarbonization trends.[1][3]
- Board hiked quarterly dividend to $0.90 per share in late October, reflecting confidence in converting profitability into shareholder returns despite a minor insider sale of 400 shares on December 3.[1][3][4]
Newmont shares surge amid strong technical momentum and dividend payout ahead.
- Stock gained in 7 of last 10 days, up 9.35% over two weeks with 29 million shares traded—nearly double the prior day—indicating building bullish momentum.
- Q3 delivered 1.42M gold ounces produced, $1.6B record free cash flow, and $640M from asset sales, enabling $2B debt reduction to near-zero net debt.
- Board affirmed $0.25 dividend for Q3, payable Dec 22, underscoring commitment to shareholder returns despite ongoing divestitures like the Coffee Project sale.
Southern Copper Hits 52-Week High After Crushing Q3 Earnings Expectations
- Q3 net sales soared 15.2% year-over-year to a record $3.38 billion, beating estimates of $3.05 billion, driven by higher volumes of silver, molybdenum, and zinc, signaling diversified revenue resilience.[1][3][4]
- Earnings per share of $1.35 topped forecasts by $0.09, highlighting cost discipline and expansion plans that position SCCO for sustained copper market deficits tied to AI and decarbonization trends.[1][3]
- Board hiked quarterly dividend to $0.90 per share in late October, reflecting confidence in converting profitability into shareholder returns despite a minor insider sale of 400 shares on December 3.[1][3][4]
Newmont shares surge amid strong technical momentum and dividend payout ahead.
- Stock gained in 7 of last 10 days, up 9.35% over two weeks with 29 million shares traded—nearly double the prior day—indicating building bullish momentum.
- Q3 delivered 1.42M gold ounces produced, $1.6B record free cash flow, and $640M from asset sales, enabling $2B debt reduction to near-zero net debt.
- Board affirmed $0.25 dividend for Q3, payable Dec 22, underscoring commitment to shareholder returns despite ongoing divestitures like the Coffee Project sale.
Which Baskets Do They Appear In?
America's Copper Advantage: Tariffs Reshape The Market
The U.S. has imposed a 50% tariff on certain copper imports, causing market volatility and creating a potential advantage for domestic producers. This theme focuses on U.S.-based copper fabricators and refiners who stand to benefit from these protectionist measures.
Published: July 31, 2025
Explore BasketWhich Baskets Do They Appear In?
America's Copper Advantage: Tariffs Reshape The Market
The U.S. has imposed a 50% tariff on certain copper imports, causing market volatility and creating a potential advantage for domestic producers. This theme focuses on U.S.-based copper fabricators and refiners who stand to benefit from these protectionist measures.
Published: July 31, 2025
Explore BasketInvestment Analysis
Southern Copper
SCCO
Pros
- Southern Copper benefits from leading cost efficiency and scale in copper production, sustaining high margins even amid volatile metal prices.
- The company maintains a geographically concentrated asset base in politically stable mining regions, supporting operational consistency and lower jurisdictional risk.
- Southern Copper offers a reliable dividend, with a recently announced payout and a history of returning capital to shareholders.
Considerations
- Southern Copper’s earnings are heavily tied to copper prices, exposing it to significant cyclical and macroeconomic volatility.
- Analyst sentiment is cautious, with average ratings at 'Hold' and price targets implying potential near-term downside from current levels.
- The company faces elevated political and regulatory risks in its core operating countries, which could disrupt production or increase costs.
Newmont
NEM
Pros
- Newmont delivered record free cash flow and maintains a robust balance sheet with substantial cash reserves and near-zero net debt.
- The company’s earnings and revenue significantly exceeded expectations in recent quarters, reflecting strong operational execution and cost discipline.
- Newmont is the world’s largest gold miner and is strategically streamlining its portfolio to focus on high-return, long-life Tier 1 assets.
Considerations
- Newmont’s valuation multiples are modestly above sector averages, which may limit upside if gold prices stagnate or decline.
- The stock has exhibited high volatility recently, with technical indicators pointing to potential short-term price weakness.
- While restructuring efforts are underway, investor confidence remains tempered by past execution challenges and skepticism over long-term production targets.
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