Royal Caribbean GroupMarriott

Royal Caribbean Group vs Marriott

Royal Caribbean Group and Marriott International are compared on this page to illuminate business models, financial performance, and market context. The analysis covers strategic approaches, revenue s...

Why It's Moving

Royal Caribbean Group

Royal Caribbean surges on $2B buyback launch and fat dividend hike, fueling investor optimism.

  • Board approved $2B repurchase following completion of prior $1B program, retiring 3.5M shares and returning $1.9B to shareholders since July 2024.
  • Quarterly dividend hiked to $1.00 per share, payable January 14, 2026, to holders of record December 26, 2025—doubling the prior payout.
  • Stock jumped $18+ per share on December 11, reflecting market enthusiasm for capital return strategy amid expanding 2027-28 Caribbean itineraries.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish
Marriott

Marriott Shares Slide Amid Pullback, But Travel Fever Signals Undervalued Opportunity

  • Recent 7-day price decline of 6.42% prompts valuation check, revealing 2% undervaluation and strong diversification into luxury offerings and capital-light revenue like branded residences.[1]
  • Marriott Bonvoy survey on Dec 9 reveals 91% of Americans intend to travel in 2026, turning New Year's resolutions into bookings and boosting outlook for occupancy and revenue.[2]
  • Long-term momentum intact with 85.61% 3-year shareholder return, though macro uncertainty and premium 29.5x earnings multiple temper short-term gains.[1]
Sentiment:
⚖️Neutral

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

Travel

Travel

Investment opportunities already packed for you. This carefully curated collection of travel stocks represents companies poised to capitalize on the industry's post-pandemic revival. Selected by professional analysts for their recovery potential and growth opportunities.

Published: May 23, 2025

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Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Royal Caribbean has a strong competitive position as one of the leading global cruise vacation operators with multiple brands and approximately 58 ships in operation.
  • The company demonstrates high profitability metrics with a normalized return on equity of over 62% and return on assets around 11.5%.
  • Royal Caribbean shows potential undervaluation with its discounted cash flow analysis suggesting it might be undervalued by over 40%, offering a possible buying opportunity.

Considerations

  • The stock price has been volatile recently, experiencing a sharp decline of around 16.8% in the past month and about 10.9% in one week, reflecting market sensitivity to macroeconomic risks.
  • The company exhibits low liquidity ratios, with a quick ratio below 0.1 and current ratio below 0.2, indicating potential challenges in covering short-term liabilities.
  • Royal Caribbean faces exposure to rising costs, higher interest rates, and fluctuating consumer sentiment which could impact demand and profitability in the near term.

Pros

  • Marriott International benefits from strong brand recognition and a diverse portfolio of lodging brands across global markets, supporting steady demand.
  • The company maintains solid operating performance with efficient asset utilisation and disciplined capital management, contributing to resilience in variable economic conditions.
  • Marriott’s scale and global footprint provide competitive advantages in negotiating and managing costs, aiding long-term growth prospects.

Considerations

  • Marriott's stock and valuation are exposed to macroeconomic risks including inflationary pressures and potential softness in global travel demand.
  • The lodging industry’s cyclicality subjects Marriott to fluctuations linked to economic downturns, affecting occupancy rates and average daily rates.
  • Ongoing operational execution risks related to integration of acquisitions and shifts in consumer preferences may challenge near-term profit margins.

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