ONEOKTarga Resources

ONEOK vs Targa Resources

This page compares ONEOK and Targa Resources to explain how their business models, financial performance, and market context differ. It presents a neutral, accessible overview of strategy, operations,...

Why It's Moving

ONEOK

ONEOK shares drift as investors parse recent earnings, strategic funding moves and buy-side interest

  • Earnings and guidance: ONEOK reported Q3 results that roughly matched consensus—EPS and adjusted EBITDA showed improvement driven by recent acquisitions and higher NGL throughput, and the firm maintained full‑year guidance, which signals management’s confidence in near‑term cash generation and synergy capture.
  • Funding activity: The company expanded its commercial paper program and issued senior notes while using proceeds to pay down some maturities and support capital projects, a move that investors interpret as shoring up liquidity for growth projects but also keeps leverage squarely in focus.
  • Institutional buying and analyst reaction: A disclosed incremental stake by a large institutional investor this week coincided with mixed analyst commentary—some highlight ongoing merger synergies and dividend yield as positives, while others point to valuation and near‑term execution risks, creating modest volatility in the stock.
Sentiment:
⚖️Neutral
Targa Resources

Targa Resources Bolsters Delaware Basin Dominance with $1.25B Stakeholder Midstream Acquisition

  • Acquisition includes 460 miles of gathering pipe and 180 MMcf/d processing capacity at 60% utilization, offering leverage for rising production from key operators like Burk Royalty and Hilcorp.
  • Brings ~15 Mb/d NGL output plus sour gas treating and carbon-capture assets eligible for 45Q tax credits, enhancing Targa's ability to fill its Speedway system and tap export demand.
  • Priced at ~6x 2026 unlevered FCF, the deal creates optionality for non-core asset sales while integrating seamlessly with Targa's existing Permian systems.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

Riding The OPEC+ Wave: Midstream Energy Plays

Riding The OPEC+ Wave: Midstream Energy Plays

OPEC+ is moving forward with its plan to increase oil production to meet summer demand. This creates an opportunity for companies that transport, store, and process the additional crude oil and natural gas.

Published: July 25, 2025

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OPEC+ Opens The Taps: Midstream's Moment

OPEC+ Opens The Taps: Midstream's Moment

OPEC+ has decided to maintain its policy of gradually increasing oil production to meet rising global demand. This creates an investment opportunity in companies that provide the essential midstream services, such as transportation and storage, which will see increased business from the higher oil supply.

Published: July 25, 2025

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Investment Analysis

Pros

  • ONEOK is considered undervalued by analysts with a discounted cash flow suggesting a 52.4% upside.
  • The company demonstrated strong Q3 2025 earnings with increased EBITDA driven by acquisitions and volume growth in key regions.
  • ONEOK has a robust dividend yield of about 6.0%, showing commitment to returning capital to shareholders.

Considerations

  • ONEOK's stock price has experienced significant declines recently, down about 36.8% year-to-date, reflecting market challenges.
  • The company has a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio and a low quick ratio (0.46), indicating potential liquidity concerns.
  • Regulatory changes and shifting energy demand trends pose execution and operational risks to its midstream pipeline business.

Pros

  • Targa Resources operates a diversified midstream energy portfolio, supporting resilience across market cycles.
  • The company has a lower valuation multiple with a P/E ratio expected to decline from 17.8x in 2025 to 15.3x in 2026, potentially signaling value.
  • Targa Resources maintains a stable free-float at 89% and offers a growing dividend yield forecasted to rise to 3.28% next year.

Considerations

  • Targa Resources’ stock exhibits higher volatility compared to ONEOK, implying greater price fluctuations and investment risk.
  • The company’s stock price has declined about 17.58% year-to-date, reflecting some market and operational headwinds.
  • Targa faces commodity price sensitivity and execution risks tied to midstream infrastructure investments and regulatory environment.

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