O'Reilly Auto PartsMarriott

O'Reilly Auto Parts vs Marriott

O'Reilly Auto Parts and Marriott International, Inc. are compared here to outline their business models, financial performance, and market context. This page offers a neutral, accessible overview of h...

Why It's Moving

O'Reilly Auto Parts

O'Reilly Automotive faces sector headwinds as peer pressures overshadow its recent earnings strength.

  • Stock fell 4.2-4.8% after AutoZone's report highlighted gross margin decline from LIFO impacts and higher operating costs, signaling potential risks across the sector.
  • ORLY's Q3 results topped estimates with $0.85 EPS versus $0.83 expected and $4.71B revenue against $4.69B forecast, reinforcing market share gains.
  • Raised 2025 comparable store sales guidance to 4-5% and Baird's new Outperform rating underscore confidence in sales productivity amid competition.
Sentiment:
🌋Volatile
Marriott

Marriott Shares Slide Amid Pullback, But Travel Fever Signals Undervalued Opportunity

  • Recent 7-day price decline of 6.42% prompts valuation check, revealing 2% undervaluation and strong diversification into luxury offerings and capital-light revenue like branded residences.[1]
  • Marriott Bonvoy survey on Dec 9 reveals 91% of Americans intend to travel in 2026, turning New Year's resolutions into bookings and boosting outlook for occupancy and revenue.[2]
  • Long-term momentum intact with 85.61% 3-year shareholder return, though macro uncertainty and premium 29.5x earnings multiple temper short-term gains.[1]
Sentiment:
⚖️Neutral

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

Automotive

Automotive

Find a car stock to fuel your investment strategy 🏎. This collection brings together carefully selected automotive companies, from traditional manufacturers to electric vehicle pioneers, curated by professional analysts to help you navigate this transformative industry.

Published: May 14, 2025

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Investment Analysis

Pros

  • O'Reilly Automotive has shown strong growth with a 232% increase in stock price over the past five years and a 27.8% gain year-to-date in 2025.
  • The company reported solid Q2 2025 results, including a 4.1% comparable store sales increase and an 11% rise in diluted earnings per share, reflecting operational strength.
  • Analysts forecast ongoing revenue growth with estimates projecting sales increases of around 5-6% annually through 2029, supported by market share gains in both professional and DIY automotive segments.

Considerations

  • Current valuation suggests potential overvaluation with a discounted cash flow analysis indicating the stock may be 51.1% overvalued.
  • Profitability ratios such as a high PEG ratio of 6.87 and elevated price-to-earnings multiples may constrain upside potential despite growth prospects.
  • The company's exposure to the cyclical automotive aftermarket could pose risks amid economic downturns or shifts in consumer vehicle maintenance behaviour.

Pros

  • Marriott benefits from being the largest global hotel chain with a diverse portfolio of brands spanning luxury to economy, enhancing market penetration.
  • The company is well-positioned to capture growth from the recovering global travel and hospitality sector post-pandemic with improving occupancy and pricing power.
  • Marriott’s asset-light business model and strong cash flow generation help sustain investment in brand development and shareholder returns.

Considerations

  • Marriott faces risks from economic cycles and global geopolitical uncertainties which can impact international travel demand and hotel occupancy.
  • Competition from alternative accommodation platforms and changing consumer preferences require continual innovation and marketing investment.
  • Rising costs such as labour inflation and regulatory compliance across different countries may pressure operating margins in the near term.

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