O'Reilly Auto PartsCarvana

O'Reilly Auto Parts vs Carvana

O'Reilly Auto Parts vs Carvana Co. This page compares the two companies’ business models, financial performance, and market context in a neutral, accessible way. It explains how each organisation oper...

Why It's Moving

O'Reilly Auto Parts

O'Reilly Automotive Raises Full-Year Outlook on Strong Q3 Sales and Earnings Momentum

  • Third-quarter comparable store sales rose 5.6%, exceeding prior expectations and signaling resilient consumer demand.
  • Diluted earnings per share increased 12%, highlighting operational efficiency and profitable growth.
  • O'Reilly updated its 2025 guidance, raising comparable store sales to 4.0%-5.0% and targeting 200-210 new store openings, underscoring expansion and market confidence.
Sentiment:
πŸƒBullish
Carvana

Carvana Joins S&P 500 Following Strong Profit Surge and Earnings Turnaround

  • Q3 2025 net income reported at $263 million, signaling a major earnings recovery and operational improvement.
  • Trailing twelve-month earnings per share turned positive, highlighting sustained profitability progress.
  • Inclusion in the S&P 500 effective December 22 amplifies visibility and positions Carvana alongside top consumer discretionary companies.
  • Shares have soared more than 10,000% from prior lows, demonstrating strong market momentum and investor optimism.
Sentiment:
πŸƒBullish

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

Automotive

Automotive

Find a car stock to fuel your investment strategy 🏎. This collection brings together carefully selected automotive companies, from traditional manufacturers to electric vehicle pioneers, curated by professional analysts to help you navigate this transformative industry.

Published: May 14, 2025

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Investment Analysis

Pros

  • O'Reilly Automotive operates a large, well-established retail network with over 5,800 stores across 47 states, providing strong market presence and accessibility.
  • The company reported robust third quarter 2025 results with a 5.6% comparable store sales growth and a 12% increase in diluted earnings per share, indicating solid operational execution.
  • O'Reilly maintains steady revenue growth and profitability, with trailing twelve-month revenue around $17.46 billion and net income of $2.48 billion, demonstrating financial strength.

Considerations

  • The stock appears overvalued based on discounted cash flow analysis, suggesting it may be priced about 51% above fair value, implying limited margin for price appreciation.
  • O'Reilly's price-to-earnings ratio is relatively high at about 33, which may limit upside potential and signals market concerns over valuation.
  • Despite strong revenue, the company has faced some profit margin pressures and efficiency concerns, with mixed analyst sentiment on future growth sustainability.

Pros

  • Carvana operates in the high-growth online used car sales sector, leveraging technology to disrupt traditional car dealerships.
  • The company has rapidly expanded its delivery and logistics network, growing its geographic reach and customer convenience significantly in recent years.
  • Carvana’s business model benefits from increasing consumer preference for online vehicle purchases, providing a strong secular growth tailwind.

Considerations

  • Carvana has historically faced significant earnings volatility and operating losses, which pose continuing profitability and cash flow risks.
  • The company operates in a highly competitive market with pressure from legacy used car dealers and other online platforms, making sustainable market share gains challenging.
  • Carvana’s stock has experienced high volatility and investor sentiment swings, reflecting execution risks and uncertainties regarding long-term profitability.

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