MarriottHilton

Marriott vs Hilton

Marriott International, Inc. and Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. are compared on this page to provide a clear view of their business models, financial performance, and market context. This neutral over...

Why It's Moving

Marriott

MAR Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -11% Downside Risk

  • CMA investigation into data handling by major hotel chains like Marriott adds uncertainty, spooking investors amid broader market caution.
  • Technical signals show neutral MACD but oversold Williams %R, hinting at potential short-term rebound risks overshadowed by bearish analyst views.
  • Ongoing concerns over high valuation and softening demand in cyclical services amplify downside risks in a volatile economic backdrop.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish
Hilton

HLT Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -6% Downside Risk

  • Hilton reported Q4 EPS of $2.08, topping consensus of $2.02, with revenue surging 10.9% year-over-year to signal robust booking demand.
  • FY2026 EPS guidance narrowed to $8.49–$8.61, below prior analyst hopes around $9.13, implying softer profit expansion ahead.
  • Consensus holds at Moderate Buy with average target implying limited upside, as firms like Mizuho stay Neutral amid elevated valuations.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Marriott has a broad geographic presence and is expanding across various price points including new midscale and extended-stay brands.
  • The company shows a relatively lower forward P/E ratio compared to Hilton, indicating potentially better valuation metrics.
  • Marriott has demonstrated solid earnings performance with shareholder-friendly capital allocation and ongoing brand development.

Considerations

  • Marriott’s share price growth over the past year (+3%) has underperformed Hilton’s, indicating weaker recent market momentum.
  • The company has a higher beta, suggesting more volatility relative to Hilton and potentially greater market risk.
  • Marriott’s drawdown since inception is larger than Hilton’s, pointing to historically higher downside exposure.

Pros

  • Hilton has delivered stronger share price growth (+12%) over the past 12 months compared to Marriott.
  • The company shows robust revenue growth expectations, with a projected EPS growth of about 10.5% for 2025.
  • Hilton’s maximum historical drawdown is less severe than Marriott’s, indicating more resilience during market downturns.

Considerations

  • Hilton trades at a higher P/E and PEG ratio than Marriott, potentially reflecting a more expensive valuation.
  • Recent mixed sentiment has been caused by insider selling and a significant state investor reducing their position.
  • Hilton’s price to sales and enterprise value multiples are higher, suggesting it may be more costly relative to its sales.

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Marriott (MAR) Next Earnings Date

Marriott International (MAR) is estimated to report its next earnings between May 1 and May 6, 2026, with several sources pinpointing May 5, 2026, following its most recent Q1 2026 release on February 10, 2026. This upcoming report will cover the Q2 2026 quarter (April-June period), consistent with the company's historical pattern of early May announcements for second-quarter results. No official date has been confirmed yet by the company.

Hilton (HLT) Next Earnings Date

Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) is estimated to report its next earnings between April 24 and April 30, 2026, covering the first quarter of 2026, following its most recent release on February 11, 2026. This projected window aligns with the company's historical pattern of late-April announcements for Q1 results. Investors should monitor for an official confirmation as the date approaches.

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