INGItaú Unibanco

ING vs Itaú Unibanco

This page compares ING Groep N.V. and Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. across business models, financial performance, and market context, presenting neutral, accessible insights to help understanding of eac...

Why It's Moving

ING

ING Accelerates €1.1B Share Buyback, Signaling Confidence in Steady Growth.

  • Repurchased 1,710,214 shares during December 1-5 at an average €22.64 per share, advancing the program to 22.88% complete with €251.7 million spent so far.
  • Total buybacks to date hit 11,382,155 shares at €22.11 average, reducing share capital and potentially lifting earnings per share for investors.
  • Program, launched October 30, reflects ING's strong CET1 ratio and commitment to 50% payout of resilient net profit, aligning with ECB guidelines.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish
Itaú Unibanco

Itau Unibanco jumps as board approves large cash distributions and shares go ex‑dividend, fueling sector rotation

  • Board approved BRL 23.4 billion in total cash distributions — including dividends and interest on capital — and a share cancellation, signaling management is returning capital and aiming to boost per‑share metrics ahead of year‑end.
  • Shares began trading ex‑rights/ex‑dividend in mid‑December (ex‑date set for December 10–11), prompting short‑term buying from income‑seeking investors and mechanical flows from funds that track ex‑dividend calendars.
  • The move coincides with heightened banking‑sector volatility linked to recent regulatory scrutiny in the U.S., which has amplified intraday swings and encouraged speculative positioning in options around ITUB’s breakout attempts.
Sentiment:
🌋Volatile

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

European Financial Consolidation

European Financial Consolidation

BNP Paribas's acquisition of AXA Investment Managers could trigger a wave of mergers in European finance. These carefully selected stocks represent potential buyers and targets in banking, insurance, and asset management as the industry reshapes for the future.

Published: July 2, 2025

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Investment Analysis

ING

ING

ING

Pros

  • ING Groep reported strong growth in fee income and customer lending in Q3 2025, supporting profitability.
  • The bank maintains a resilient commercial net interest income and a robust CET1 capital ratio of 13.4%.
  • ING's disciplined capital management and controlled operating expenses contribute to stable risk costs.

Considerations

  • A significant portion of ING's revenue comes from net interest income, making it sensitive to ECB rate cuts.
  • Net income weakened in Q1 2025, reflecting ongoing sector-wide pressures on European banks.
  • Analysts forecast a potential share price decline in late 2025, indicating near-term market caution.

Pros

  • Itaú Unibanco reported a healthy profit margin of 12.11% in 2024, reflecting strong operational efficiency.
  • The bank offers a high dividend yield, providing attractive income for investors.
  • Itaú Unibanco maintains a diversified business model across retail, wholesale, and market activities in Brazil.

Considerations

  • The company's financial performance is closely tied to the Brazilian economy, exposing it to local macro risks.
  • Analyst price targets suggest limited upside potential in the near term.
  • Itaú Unibanco's P/E ratio is higher than some regional peers, which may constrain valuation expansion.

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