HP vs Leidos
HP Inc. and Leidos Holdings, Inc.: This page compares business models, financial performance, and market context to help readers understand how the two organisations approach growth, risk, and value within their sectors, while remaining neutral and accessible. Educational content, not financial advice.
HP Inc. and Leidos Holdings, Inc.: This page compares business models, financial performance, and market context to help readers understand how the two organisations approach growth, risk, and value w...
Why It's Moving
HP shares react to fiscal‑2025 results and a $1B AI-driven cost plan as memory costs cloud 2026 outlook
- Earnings and dividend: HP posted fiscal‑2025 revenue of $55.3 billion and delivered GAAP EPS of $2.65, while the board declared a $0.30 quarterly cash dividend payable in January, signaling free‑cash‑flow strength and capital allocation discipline.[1][4]
- AI cost‑savings plan and charges: Management unveiled a fiscal‑2026 plan to accelerate AI in products and operations that it says will drive about $1 billion of gross run‑rate savings by FY2028, but expects roughly $650 million of restructuring and related charges (≈$250 million in FY2026), which front‑loads costs to enable longer‑term margin improvement.[1]
- Memory supply and 2026 margin risk: Management and analysts flagged rising memory prices tied to AI infrastructure demand as a material headwind for fiscal‑2026 margins; HP is pursuing supplier diversification, price and configuration changes, and warned the second half of 2026 could be the most affected period, creating near‑term earnings uncertainty despite the company’s operational moves.[1][2]
Leidos sharpens focus on high-growth defense tech by divesting non-core Varec unit.
- Supports NorthStar 2030 portfolio optimization by removing automated fuel management from Leidos' offerings, enabling sharper focus on core pillars.
- Transaction expected to close in Q4 2025, subject to customary conditions, with leadership stating it maximizes long-term value for both parties.
- Wall Street's average brokerage recommendation of 1.87 (Strong Buy territory) and upward EPS revisions to $11.72 signal growing analyst confidence.
HP shares react to fiscal‑2025 results and a $1B AI-driven cost plan as memory costs cloud 2026 outlook
- Earnings and dividend: HP posted fiscal‑2025 revenue of $55.3 billion and delivered GAAP EPS of $2.65, while the board declared a $0.30 quarterly cash dividend payable in January, signaling free‑cash‑flow strength and capital allocation discipline.[1][4]
- AI cost‑savings plan and charges: Management unveiled a fiscal‑2026 plan to accelerate AI in products and operations that it says will drive about $1 billion of gross run‑rate savings by FY2028, but expects roughly $650 million of restructuring and related charges (≈$250 million in FY2026), which front‑loads costs to enable longer‑term margin improvement.[1]
- Memory supply and 2026 margin risk: Management and analysts flagged rising memory prices tied to AI infrastructure demand as a material headwind for fiscal‑2026 margins; HP is pursuing supplier diversification, price and configuration changes, and warned the second half of 2026 could be the most affected period, creating near‑term earnings uncertainty despite the company’s operational moves.[1][2]
Leidos sharpens focus on high-growth defense tech by divesting non-core Varec unit.
- Supports NorthStar 2030 portfolio optimization by removing automated fuel management from Leidos' offerings, enabling sharper focus on core pillars.
- Transaction expected to close in Q4 2025, subject to customary conditions, with leadership stating it maximizes long-term value for both parties.
- Wall Street's average brokerage recommendation of 1.87 (Strong Buy territory) and upward EPS revisions to $11.72 signal growing analyst confidence.
Which Baskets Do They Appear In?
Powering The PC Resurgence
Lenovo's recent announcement of a 108% profit increase highlights a resilient and growing PC market. This theme invests in the key hardware and semiconductor suppliers poised to benefit from sustained demand for personal computers and AI infrastructure.
Published: August 14, 2025
Explore BasketPlanned Obsolescence
These companies have mastered the art of creating products designed for replacement. Our analysts have carefully selected businesses that benefit from predictable upgrade cycles, generating reliable revenue streams as consumers continually refresh their purchases.
Published: June 17, 2025
Explore BasketRazor & Blade Cartel
This carefully selected group of stocks represents companies that have mastered the art of customer lock-in. These businesses offer attractive initial products to secure customers, then generate predictable, high-margin revenue from necessary add-ons and consumables. Each company has been chosen by expert analysts for their successful execution of this powerful business strategy.
Published: June 17, 2025
Explore BasketWhich Baskets Do They Appear In?
Powering The PC Resurgence
Lenovo's recent announcement of a 108% profit increase highlights a resilient and growing PC market. This theme invests in the key hardware and semiconductor suppliers poised to benefit from sustained demand for personal computers and AI infrastructure.
Published: August 14, 2025
Explore BasketPlanned Obsolescence
These companies have mastered the art of creating products designed for replacement. Our analysts have carefully selected businesses that benefit from predictable upgrade cycles, generating reliable revenue streams as consumers continually refresh their purchases.
Published: June 17, 2025
Explore BasketRazor & Blade Cartel
This carefully selected group of stocks represents companies that have mastered the art of customer lock-in. These businesses offer attractive initial products to secure customers, then generate predictable, high-margin revenue from necessary add-ons and consumables. Each company has been chosen by expert analysts for their successful execution of this powerful business strategy.
Published: June 17, 2025
Explore BasketThe Turnaround Artists
These companies are led by elite CEOs with impressive track records of rescuing struggling businesses. Our analysts have carefully selected these stocks based on leadership that has the potential to engineer dramatic corporate revivals and create significant investor value.
Published: June 17, 2025
Explore BasketInvestment Analysis
HP
HPQ
Pros
- HP Inc. consistently returns cash to shareholders, maintaining dividend payments for over 50 consecutive years.
- The company is expanding its AI-powered product portfolio, with such offerings now representing a quarter of its product mix.
- Recent quarters show revenue growth and operational milestones, including successful manufacturing and supply chain diversification.
Considerations
- HP’s return on equity remains deeply negative, indicating ongoing challenges in generating profitable shareholder returns.
- Global PC and printer demand is cyclical and subject to macroeconomic headwinds, which may dampen growth during downturns.
- Recent technical sentiment and price volatility suggest a bearish short-term outlook despite analyst expectations for modest gains.
Leidos
LDOS
Pros
- Leidos benefits from strong government contract relationships, securing $8.1 billion in recent bookings at a robust book-to-bill ratio.
- The company is integrating artificial intelligence across multiple sectors, including defense and cybersecurity, supporting long-term growth.
- Leidos exhibits sound operational efficiency with recent EPS beats, strong free cash flow, and healthy interest coverage.
Considerations
- A significant share of revenue comes from government contracts, exposing Leidos to potential budget cuts and shifts in public sector priorities.
- Valuation metrics such as price-to-book and price-to-sales are elevated relative to sector peers, suggesting less margin for error.
- Despite AI integration, revenue growth depends heavily on large, multi-year contracts that may slow with changes in government policy.
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