ExxonMobilCanadian Natural

ExxonMobil vs Canadian Natural

ExxonMobil vs Canadian Natural: this page compares their business models, financial performance, and market context in a neutral, accessible way. It outlines how each company creates value, allocates ...

Why It's Moving

ExxonMobil

ExxonMobil Powers Ahead with Q3 Earnings Strength and Dividend Boost Amid Energy Sector Resilience

  • Q3 earnings hit $7.5 billion with $14.8 billion in operating cash flow, offsetting weaker crude and chemical margins through Permian and Guyana volume gains and cost savings.
  • Fourth-quarter dividend rose 4% to $1.03 per share, returning $9.4 billion to shareholders in Q3 and highlighting financial discipline.
  • Advanced eight of 10 key 2025 projects on track, plus $20B low-carbon push through 2030 in CCS and hydrogen, aligning with faster-than-expected emissions cuts.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish
Canadian Natural

CNQ hikes dividend for 25th straight year as production records fuel upbeat 2025 guidance.

  • Achieved record Q3/25 production of 1,620 MBOE/d, up 19% year-over-year, driven by accretive acquisitions and organic growth across liquids and natural gas.
  • Raised 2025 production guidance to 1,560-1,580 MBOE/d while holding operating capital steady at $5.9 billion, highlighting efficient capital deployment.
  • Completed AOSP asset swap adding 31,000 bbl/d of zero-decline bitumen capacity, enhancing long-term value and operational synergies.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

Oil's Ascent

Oil's Ascent

WTI crude oil prices have climbed to their highest levels since April, creating promising opportunities in the energy sector. These carefully selected stocks are positioned to benefit directly from sustained higher oil prices, giving you access to potential growth in this important market.

Published: July 1, 2025

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Investment Analysis

Pros

  • ExxonMobil demonstrates strong profitability with a net income of nearly $30 billion and robust operating segments across upstream, energy, and chemical products.
  • The company maintains a stable dividend yield of 3.62%, reflecting consistent shareholder returns and financial strength.
  • ExxonMobil has a large, diversified global resource portfolio that supports long-term production and growth potential.

Considerations

  • The stock experienced volatility, with a beta of 0.38 indicating moderate market sensitivity and some price fluctuation risk.
  • Recent analyst forecasts show mixed views with some predicting only modest price appreciation in the near term due to market uncertainties.
  • ExxonMobil’s valuation metrics such as PE ratio around 16.6 imply limited margin for error in pricing, and cyclical risks inherent in fossil fuel demand remain.

Pros

  • Canadian Natural Resources exhibits lower volatility compared to ExxonMobil, suggesting potentially less risk for investors.
  • The company has demonstrated higher risk-adjusted returns year-to-date relative to ExxonMobil, indicating strong recent performance.
  • CNQ benefits from a focused portfolio in the oil and gas sector with operational efficiencies that can capitalise on higher commodity prices.

Considerations

  • Canadian Natural currently trades below key moving averages, indicating a bearish technical trend and potential near-term downside.
  • The company has a lower stock score percentile historically, reflecting relatively subdued investor sentiment and valuation.
  • Exposure to commodity cyclicality poses risks, as demand fluctuations can significantly impact revenues and profitability.

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