ExpediaFormula One

Expedia vs Formula One

Expedia and Formula One are compared here to illuminate how each operates within its sector. This page examines business models, financial performance, and market context in a neutral, accessible way,...

Why It's Moving

Expedia

Expedia rallies as upbeat Q3 results, a dividend and guidance lift investor sentiment

  • Earnings beat and profitability: Expedia posted a notable profit recovery with GAAP net income and adjusted EPS up year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA and margins expanding β€” a sign the company is converting revenue growth into stronger operating profitability (Q3 results).
  • Raised guidance and demand trends: Management lifted full‑year 2025 guidance for bookings, revenue and EBITDA margin expansion, implying management sees sustained travel demand and improving unit economics heading into 2026 (guidance raise).
  • Shareholder returns and corporate moves: The company declared a $0.40 quarterly cash dividend and continued sizable share repurchases (hundreds of millions in the quarter and over $1B year‑to‑date), signaling confidence in cash flow and returning capital to investors (dividend and buybacks).
Sentiment:
πŸƒBullish
Formula One

Split-off of Liberty Live and F1 reattribution dominate FWONK moves as asset reshuffle clears way for separate Live Nation exposure

  • Split-off approved: Liberty shareholders approved the Liberty Live split-off and Liberty Media said the split-off is expected to occur on December 15, 2025, which will list Liberty Live Holdings separately and leave FWONK more concentrated on Formula 1 and MotoGPβ€”a corporate step that can make FWONK’s earnings and asset base easier to value.
  • Net-asset reattribution: Management finalized a reattribution that moves roughly $421.7 million of net asset value between the Live and Formula One groups (including cash and minority interests), materially reshaping what remains attributed to FWONK and clarifying which operating assets and liabilities sit with the Formula One Group.
  • Market signal and flows: Recent SEC filings show insider and institutional activity β€” including director share sales and reported stake increases/decreases β€” and analysts have recently adjusted views, prompting short-term trading around the split-off and leading investors to reprice FWONK based on a narrower, F1-focused asset mix.
Sentiment:
βš–οΈNeutral

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Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Expedia raised its 2025 revenue growth forecast to 6-7%, up from the previous 3-5%, following better-than-expected Q3 earnings results.
  • The B2B segment is a strong growth driver, with bookings up 26% year-over-year reaching $9.38 billion, showing robust business travel demand.
  • Expedia posted 12% growth in total gross bookings and improved profitability, with adjusted EBITDA margins expanding and net income up 40% year-over-year in Q3.

Considerations

  • Expedia's high beta of 1.56 indicates greater stock price volatility relative to the market, implying increased investment risk.
  • The company's price-to-earnings ratio around 26 potentially reflects a premium valuation compared to industry peers, which could limit upside.
  • Despite growth, Expedia faces competitive pressure in the fragmented online travel market, which could impact margin sustainability.

Pros

  • Formula One benefits from growing global fan engagement and expanding media rights deals, which drive recurring revenue.
  • The company shows diversified revenue streams from race hosting fees, sponsorships, and digital content monetization.
  • Strong brand and exclusive positioning as the premier global motorsport series provide Formula One with competitive advantages.

Considerations

  • Formula One's revenue is sensitive to macroeconomic conditions and geopolitical risks that could affect event attendance and sponsorship.
  • High fixed costs related to hosting races and producing events create operating leverage risk, especially if revenues decline.
  • Intense competition from other sports and entertainment options may impact future viewer growth and sponsorship valuations.

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