CarnivalFox

Carnival vs Fox

This page compares Carnival plc and Fox Corporation (Class B), examining business models, financial performance, and market context. It offers a neutral overview of how each company generates revenue,...

Why It's Moving

Carnival

CUK Dips Amid Cruise Sector Pullback Despite Strong Underlying Momentum.

  • Stock fluctuated -1.5% off the daily high with volume at 805K versus a 1.69M average, signaling cautious trading in the sector[1].
  • Year-to-date gains of 18% from $22.51 highlight sustained rebound, though recent 3-month slip mirrors CCL's 18% drop despite rising earnings[1][2].
  • Q3 fiscal 2025 return on invested capital hit 13%—the highest since 2007—underscoring efficient capital use amid strong bookings[4].
Sentiment:
⚖️Neutral
Fox

FOX Class B shares surge to 52-week high amid robust advertising momentum and analyst upgrades.

  • FOX reached a 52-week high of $61.23 on December 5, reflecting 2.4% gains in the past month and outpacing its sector amid strong market confidence.
  • Q1 earnings crushed estimates with $1.51 EPS (vs. $1.06 expected) and $3.74B revenue (up 5% YoY), driven by 6% advertising revenue growth despite cable news headwinds.
  • Analysts like CFRA and UBS hiked price targets to $73 and $76 respectively, citing a booming ad market and 3% distribution gains signaling sustained profitability.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

Consumer Confidence On The Rise

Consumer Confidence On The Rise

A recent report showed a rise in U.S. consumer confidence, driven by lower inflation fears and a climbing stock market. This suggests consumers may be more willing to spend, creating a potential tailwind for companies that sell non-essential goods and services.

Published: July 30, 2025

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Riding Europe's Airline Recovery

Riding Europe's Airline Recovery

Ryanair's recent doubling of its quarterly profits highlights a significant recovery and pricing power in Europe's budget airline sector. This success signals a broader investment opportunity among low-cost carriers and the supporting travel industry ecosystem.

Published: July 22, 2025

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Ephemeral Experiences

Ephemeral Experiences

Invest in companies creating lasting memories through fleeting moments. These carefully selected stocks represent leaders in the experience economy, from sold-out concerts to dream vacations. As consumers increasingly value doing over owning, these companies are positioned to capture this powerful spending shift.

Published: June 17, 2025

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Experience Economy

Experience Economy

Companies creating memorable experiences are capturing a growing share of consumer spending. This carefully curated collection includes stocks selected by expert analysts that are positioned to benefit from the shift toward travel, entertainment, and leisure activities.

Published: June 17, 2025

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Wanderlust Economy

Wanderlust Economy

Explore investment opportunities in companies powering global travel experiences. These carefully selected stocks represent the full journey ecosystem, from booking platforms to airlines, cruise lines, and hospitality. Travel industry innovators poised for growth as exploration rebounds worldwide.

Published: June 17, 2025

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Full Moon Stocks

Full Moon Stocks

A unique collection of casino, entertainment, and leisure stocks connected to emotional consumer spending patterns. Our professional analysts have selected companies that could benefit from heightened consumer sentiment during periods like full moons.

Published: June 17, 2025

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Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Carnival shows a relatively low price-to-earnings ratio around 13.58, indicating potential value compared to earnings.
  • The company has successfully priced a $1.25 billion senior unsecured notes offering, which could strengthen liquidity.
  • There is consensus among some analysts for moderate upside with average price targets suggesting potential gains above current price levels.

Considerations

  • Recent technical indicators and sentiment data point to a bearish outlook and a predicted share price decline around 24% by December 2025.
  • Carnival faces medium price volatility and a Fear & Greed Index suggesting investor caution and uncertainty.
  • The cruise industry remains sensitive to macroeconomic and travel demand fluctuations, posing execution and cyclical risks.
Fox

Fox

FOX

Pros

  • Fox Corporation has strong competitive positioning with lucrative sports rights and leading cable news viewership, supporting revenue stability.
  • The company’s diversified segments include cable networks, broadcast TV, and streaming services offering balanced growth avenues.
  • Current valuation metrics like P/E around 11.1 and price-to-book of 2.1 indicate a reasonable valuation relative to some consumer cyclicals peers.

Considerations

  • Fox trades at a high valuation premium compared to intrinsic fair value estimates, suggesting limited valuation upside near term.
  • The media and broadcasting sectors face regulatory uncertainty and evolving consumer preferences impacting long-term stability.
  • Dividend yield is modest under 1%, offering limited income appeal relative to some other media stocks.

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