Carnival vs Formula One
This page compares Carnival Corporation and Formula One. It outlines how their business models differ, notes patterns in financial performance, and places each company in its market context. The aim is to present neutral, accessible information about how these stock stories relate. Educational content, not financial advice.
This page compares Carnival Corporation and Formula One. It outlines how their business models differ, notes patterns in financial performance, and places each company in its market context. The aim i...
Why It's Moving
Carnival Gears Up for Earnings with Strong Booking Momentum Ahead of Next Week's Report
- Analysts forecast Q4 EPS of $0.25, a 78.6% year-over-year jump, and revenues of $6.36 billion, up 7.2%, building on Carnival's track record of beating estimates in the last four quarters[1].
- Holland America Line shattered U.S. Black Friday booking records with 19% more reservations than 2023, fueled by strong demand for 2026 Alaska cruises and promotions offering up to 30% off fares[2].
- Seabourn's 'Explore More Event' launched December 4 provides savings on 2026-2028 voyages, while Princess Cruises' Sky Princess bolsters Caribbean offerings from Port Canaveral through March 2026[2].
Split-off of Liberty Live and F1 reattribution dominate FWONK moves as asset reshuffle clears way for separate Live Nation exposure
- Split-off approved: Liberty shareholders approved the Liberty Live split-off and Liberty Media said the split-off is expected to occur on December 15, 2025, which will list Liberty Live Holdings separately and leave FWONK more concentrated on Formula 1 and MotoGP—a corporate step that can make FWONK’s earnings and asset base easier to value.
- Net-asset reattribution: Management finalized a reattribution that moves roughly $421.7 million of net asset value between the Live and Formula One groups (including cash and minority interests), materially reshaping what remains attributed to FWONK and clarifying which operating assets and liabilities sit with the Formula One Group.
- Market signal and flows: Recent SEC filings show insider and institutional activity — including director share sales and reported stake increases/decreases — and analysts have recently adjusted views, prompting short-term trading around the split-off and leading investors to reprice FWONK based on a narrower, F1-focused asset mix.
Carnival Gears Up for Earnings with Strong Booking Momentum Ahead of Next Week's Report
- Analysts forecast Q4 EPS of $0.25, a 78.6% year-over-year jump, and revenues of $6.36 billion, up 7.2%, building on Carnival's track record of beating estimates in the last four quarters[1].
- Holland America Line shattered U.S. Black Friday booking records with 19% more reservations than 2023, fueled by strong demand for 2026 Alaska cruises and promotions offering up to 30% off fares[2].
- Seabourn's 'Explore More Event' launched December 4 provides savings on 2026-2028 voyages, while Princess Cruises' Sky Princess bolsters Caribbean offerings from Port Canaveral through March 2026[2].
Split-off of Liberty Live and F1 reattribution dominate FWONK moves as asset reshuffle clears way for separate Live Nation exposure
- Split-off approved: Liberty shareholders approved the Liberty Live split-off and Liberty Media said the split-off is expected to occur on December 15, 2025, which will list Liberty Live Holdings separately and leave FWONK more concentrated on Formula 1 and MotoGP—a corporate step that can make FWONK’s earnings and asset base easier to value.
- Net-asset reattribution: Management finalized a reattribution that moves roughly $421.7 million of net asset value between the Live and Formula One groups (including cash and minority interests), materially reshaping what remains attributed to FWONK and clarifying which operating assets and liabilities sit with the Formula One Group.
- Market signal and flows: Recent SEC filings show insider and institutional activity — including director share sales and reported stake increases/decreases — and analysts have recently adjusted views, prompting short-term trading around the split-off and leading investors to reprice FWONK based on a narrower, F1-focused asset mix.
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An OPEC+ decision to increase oil production could put downward pressure on global energy prices. This creates a potential investment opportunity in fuel-dependent industries, such as airlines and logistics, which stand to benefit from lower operating costs.
Published: October 5, 2025
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Explore BasketInvestment Analysis
Carnival
CCL
Pros
- Carnival has a Market Cap of approximately $34.6 billion, indicating substantial size and market presence.
- The company reported a trailing twelve months net income of $2.64 billion, demonstrating profitability.
- Analysts have an average rating of 'Strong Buy' with a 12-month price target suggesting a potential upside of about 26%.
Considerations
- Current sentiment and technical indicators show bearish trends with a forecast of a 24% drop in share price by December 2025.
- The company's beta is high at 2.53, indicating above-average stock price volatility and risk.
- Liquidity metrics like Quick and Current Ratios are low (0.21 and 0.34 respectively), pointing to potential short-term financial constraints.
Formula One
FWONK
Pros
- Formula One Group holds exclusive commercial and promotional rights to the FIA Formula One World Championship, a strong competitive moat.
- The company operates globally with an extensive race schedule across five continents, broadening its growth and revenue opportunities.
- It benefits from diversified revenue sources including race promoters, broadcasters, sponsors, and advertisers.
Considerations
- The Price/Earnings ratio of around 64 suggests a high valuation which may imply limited near-term upside or higher investor expectations.
- As entertainment and sporting events, the business is exposed to regulatory risks and economic cyclicality impacting discretionary spending.
- The company faces execution risks tied to maintaining global event schedules and partnerships, especially amid potential geopolitical or macroeconomic disruptions.
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