ArcelorMittalSteel Dynamics

ArcelorMittal vs Steel Dynamics

ArcelorMittal vs Steel Dynamics compares two major steel organisations, outlining their business models, financial performance, and market context. The page provides a neutral, accessible overview of ...

Why It's Moving

ArcelorMittal

ArcelorMittal Hits 52-Week High as Steel Giant Rides Wave of Strong Gains and Rating Boosts.

  • Stock smashed 52-week high at $43.84 USD, signaling sustained investor confidence in the steelmaker's growth trajectory and healthy P/E of 13.04[1][3].
  • Moody's upgraded long-term rating to Baa2, spotlighting structural business improvements and bolstering appeal to fixed-income investors[1].
  • CFRA lifted rating to Buy on positive 2026 profit margins and regulatory tailwinds, countering UBS neutral call while shares keep climbing[1].
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish
Steel Dynamics

Steel Dynamics surges to 52-week high on analyst upgrades and robust Q3 results signaling steel demand rebound.

  • Q3 net sales climbed to $4.8 billion with record 3.6 million tons of steel shipments, driven by metal spread expansion and improved Sinton operations despite lingering import overhang.
  • Analysts upbeat: JPMorgan raised target to $190 (neutral), Morgan Stanley to $173 (overweight), fueling 'Moderate Buy' consensus as shares outpace market with 8.48% monthly gain.
  • Completed acquisition of remaining 55% in New Process Steel on Dec 1, bolstering value-added metals distribution amid diversification into low-carbon aluminum products.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

U.S. Protectionism: American Advantage

U.S. Protectionism: American Advantage

This carefully selected group of stocks represents companies set to benefit from the new 35% tariff on Canadian imports. Our professional analysts have identified these U.S. businesses as being uniquely positioned to capture greater market share and increase their pricing power as foreign competition becomes more expensive.

Published: July 14, 2025

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Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Q3 2025 earnings surpassed expectations with EPS of $0.62 and revenue of $15.66 billion, showing strong operational performance.
  • Strategic investments near $1 billion in growth projects such as expansion in Liberia and Calvert EAF ramp-up support future growth.
  • Strong financial position with positive free cash flow outlook for 2025 enables organic growth funding and consistent shareholder returns.

Considerations

  • Challenges remain in certain regions, including operational difficulties in Mexico and import competition pressures in Brazil and India.
  • Stock price forecast suggests a potential decline of about 12% by end of 2025, indicating possible near-term valuation headwinds.
  • Despite 2025 gains, operational momentum appears limited, which may constrain upside in stock performance.

Pros

  • Strong quarterly earnings with EPS of $2.74 beating estimates and revenue of $4.83 billion showed solid recent performance.
  • Healthy balance sheet metrics including a 3.11 current ratio and a 1.25% dividend yield support financial stability and shareholder returns.
  • ROE has recently improved to 11.66%, reflecting enhanced profitability compared to lower past quarters.

Considerations

  • Current ROE of 11.66% remains significantly below its ten-year average of 23.69%, indicating profitability challenges relative to historical performance.
  • Steel industry cyclicality and commodity price sensitivity could affect future earnings and operational stability.
  • Growth may be constrained by competitive pressures in the US steel market and potential regulatory challenges.

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